Do ASX 200 dividend shares out-earn Aussie property?

We compare the forecast FY25 dividend yields of the top 10 ASX 200 companies to rental property yields.

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ASX 200 dividend shares and real property are two of the most popular investment asset classes for building wealth in Australia.

But how do they compare on yields?

Given the astonishing rise in weekly rents over the past few years, it's worth taking a fresh look at how gross property rental yields compare to ASX 200 dividend yields.

Rental yields on Australian houses

Here are the gross rental yields of houses across the country.

MarketGross yieldMarketGross yield
Sydney 2.7%Regional NSW4.1%
Melbourne3.2%Regional VIC4.2%
Brisbane3.5%Regional QLD4.3%
Adelaide3.5%Regional SA4.6%
Perth4%Regional WA5.8%
Hobart4.2%Regional TAS4.4%
Darwin6.2%Regional NT7.4%
Canberra3.7%
Source: Hedonic Home Value Index, CoreLogic, October 2024

Rental yields on apartments

Here are the gross rental yields of apartments across Australia.

MarketGross yieldMarketGross yield
Sydney4%Regional NSW4.4%
Melbourne4.7%Regional VIC5%
Brisbane4.5%Regional QLD4.7%
Adelaide4.7%Regional SA5.6%
Perth5.5%Regional WA8.5%
Hobart4.5%Regional TAS5.1%
Darwin8%Regional NTn/a
Canberra5.1%
Source: Hedonic Home Value Index, CoreLogic, October 2024

Forecast yields for ASX 200 dividend shares in FY25

These are the forecast FY25 dividend yields for the top 10 ASX 200 shares by market capitalisation, as per CommSec data.

RankASX 200 dividend share Forecast annual dividend in FY25 Dividend yield
1Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA)$4.953.2%
2BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP)$1.734.3%
3CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL)$3.711.3%
4National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) $1.724.4%
5Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC)$1.554.7%
6ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) $1.705.3%
7Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG)$6.502.8%
8Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES)$1.982.8%
9Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) 30 cents0.8%
10Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG) $1.126.3%
Source: Forecast dividends from CommSec. Yields calculated using share prices at the time of writing

Rental growth slowing down

According to CoreLogic, rents across the country increased by 39% between August 2020 and June 2024.

Rising rents have been a significant contributor to Australia's high inflation in recent years.

This is partly due to their staggering increase and partly because rents have one of the largest weightings in the consumer price index (CPI) basket of goods and services used by the Australian Bureau of Statistics to measure the inflation rate.

But the rental market started to cool down this year.

The latest CoreLogic monthly report showed the annual rate of rental growth has slowed to 5.8%. That's the lowest it's been since April 2021.

CoreLogic Head of Australian Research, Eliza Owen, said rental growth was slowing due to lower immigration and a reversal of the household 'shrink' seen during COVID.

The 'shrink' refers to the fall in the average number of people living in each household during COVID.

This happened because more people sought to live alone during the pandemic. Working from home allowed many people to move away from the city where they could afford to rent solo.

Do ASX 200 dividend shares out-earn property?

As the tables above show, the answer to this question varies depending on the individual stocks and particular property markets you are comparing.

It's worth noting that franking credits add to the earnings of ASX 200 dividend shares.

By comparison, the holding costs of investment property, such as insurance and water, detract from rental earnings.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in BHP Group, CSL, Goodman Group, and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended CSL, Goodman Group, Macquarie Group, and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended CSL, Goodman Group, and Wesfarmers. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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