1 ASX dividend stock down 25% to buy right now

I think this income business is a compelling buy right now.

| More on:
Group of successful real estate agents standing in building and looking at tablet.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX dividend stock Centuria Industrial REIT (ASX: CIP) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT), in my opinion.

It's not the largest REIT in the sector, but it is exposed to some of the biggest trends.

According to Centuria, it's the largest domestic pure-play industrial REIT, with a portfolio of high-quality industrial assets located in key metropolitan locations throughout Australia with a quality and diverse tenant base.

Its goal is to provide investors with income and an opportunity for capital growth. That sounds like a good mixture of returns, in my opinion.

As an ASX dividend stock, there are three reasons why I think it's a great pick right now.

Demand tailwinds driving rental income

More than 83% of its property portfolio is weighted to Australia's urban infill industrial markets. In other words, most of its properties are located in important city locations. It also has high-quality tenants, with 93% of rental income coming from listed, national and multinational entities.

The REIT is exposed to factors like rising e-commerce adoption, a growing population and a trend towards onshoring supply chains after global supply chain uncertainty.

Future growth looked promising, Grant Nichols, fund manager and Centuria head of listed funds, said:

Looking ahead, strong sector tailwinds such as ecommerce adoption, onshoring of production and assembly, data centre growth and increased demand for cold storage will continue to benefit Australian industrial markets, particularly infill industrial markets where these tailwinds are generating the greatest tenant demand.

For a portfolio with existing critical mass in Australian urban infill industrial markets, CIP is positioned to benefit from these tailwinds given the limited potential for additional supply within these markets.

These demand trends and the limited supply are helping drive revenue. In FY24, the business reported 43% positive re-leasing spreads across 39 transactions. This means the ASX dividend stock is generating 43% more revenue on the new rental contract compared to the old one, which is an excellent increase.

I also like the portfolio stats advising that occupancy was 97.1% in FY24, and its weighted average lease expiry (WALE) was 7.6 years. This suggests good rental stability.

Good distributions

The CIP REIT sends most, but not all, of its rental profit each year to investors, which unlocks a good distribution yield.

In FY24, it generated 17.2 cents per unit of funds from operations (FFO) (net rental profit) and paid a distribution of 16 cents – a payout ratio of 93%. Retaining some of that cash means it can improve its balance sheet and invest for future growth.

In FY25, the business expects to grow its FFO per unit by 1.7% to 17.5 cents despite the higher interest rate headwinds. The distribution is guided to grow by 1.8% to 16.3 cents, translating into a forward distribution yield of 5.2%.

Valuation discount

REITs such as this ASX dividend stock tell us the underlying value of the property portfolio (and other assets and liabilities) with a net tangible assets (NTA) value figure. If everything in the business were sold, that figure is how much each unit should be worth.

In June 2024, Centuria Industrial REIT's NTA was reported as $3.87, which means the current share price is at a 20% discount to this figure. I think that's very attractive and suggests that it could be a bargain in the ASX dividend stock space.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

a large pile of cash made up of bundled $100 notes is piled against a plain background.
Dividend Investing

Investors can target $1,240 a year in dividend income from $20,000 in this ultra-high-yielding ASX 200 gem – here's how

This business can provide significant passive income.

Read more »

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
Growth Shares

2 ASX giants to buy for decades of growth and dividends

Income or growth? Why not have both!

Read more »

a man in a shirt and tie holds his chin in thoughtful contemplation and looks skywards as if thinking about something while a graphic of a road with many ups and downs unfurls behind him.
Dividend Investing

Down 8%, this passive income stock offers a 4.6% dividend yield!

Despite a stagnant share price, this stock's payouts have never been higher.

Read more »

Man putting in a coin in a coin jar with piles of coins next to it.
Dividend Investing

Dividend investing opportunities emerging as quality ASX stocks reset

A pullback in quality ASX shares may be the opening dividend investors have been waiting for.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

Analysts expect 4% to 6% dividend yields from these ASX stocks

Good yields are expected from these names in the near term.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend shares to buy with $5,000

Analysts think these shares could be top picks for income investors.

Read more »

A young bank customer wearing a yellow jumper smiles as she checks her bank balance on her phone.
Dividend Investing

Forget Westpac shares and buy these ASX dividend stocks

Analysts think these shares would be better buys for income investors.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Dividend Investing

Bell Potter names the best ASX dividend shares to buy in December

These are high conviction picks according to the broker.

Read more »