5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Will the market be able to continue its positive run today?

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.2% to 8,209.5 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

A male ASX 200 broker wearing a blue shirt and black tie holds one hand to his chin with the other arm crossed across his body as he watches stock prices on a digital screen while deep in thought

Image Source: Getty Images

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set to fall on Monday following a mixed finish on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 68 points or 0.8% lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.1%, but the S&P 500 was 0.2% lower and the Nasdaq dropped 0.35%.

Oil prices soften

ASX 200 energy shares such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a relatively subdued start to the week after oil prices softened on Friday. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 0.2% to US$71.00 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 0.5% to US$74.49 a barrel. This couldn't stop oil prices from finishing higher for the week.

Buy Arcadium Lithium shares

The team at Bell Potter thinks that Arcadium Lithium (ASX: LTM) shares are undervalued at current levels. According to the note, the broker has responded to the lithium miner's investor day update by retaining its buy rating with a trimmed price target of $6.25. It said: "The company's lithium market analysis points to demand growing from 1.2Mtpa LCE in 2024 to 2.3Mtpa LCE by 2027 and 3.5Mtpa by 2030, a 21% CAGR. The supply outlook, even including aggressive production growth from China and Africa, sees market deficits of 0.3Mtpa by 2027 and 0.7Mtpa by 2030."

Gold price jumps

It could be a good start to the week for ASX 200 gold shares such as Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price stormed higher on Friday. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was up 1.2% to US$2,646 an ounce. The gold price hit a new record high in response to last week's rate cut in the United States.

Buy Strike Energy shares

Goldman Sachs says that Strike Energy Ltd (ASX: STX) shares are in the buy zone right now. It has retained its buy rating on the energy producer's shares with an improved price target of 28 cents. The broker commented: "Trading at a ~10% discount to our risked NAV, we see long-term value in STX's West Australian gas resources also highlighted by recent acquisitions of Perth Basin explorers and developers over the past year."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Arcadium Lithium and Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on ASX Share Market News

A woman's hand draws a stylised 'Top Ten' on a projected surface.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a mild but positive start to the week's trading today.

Read more »

A man surrounded by huge piles of paper looks through a magnifying glass at his computer screen.
Opinions

CSL shares are back near $180. Here's the level I'm watching

CSL shares are nearing a key technical level after a strong rebound.

Read more »

A girl is looking very confused, with one eyebrow raised saying what?
Capital Raising

Why is this ASX lithium stock crashing 10% on Monday?

A big update has put this lithium stock in focus.

Read more »

Sell written several times on board.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Tabcorp and NAB shares

A leading expert believes Tabcorp and NAB shares are likely to underperform into 2027.

Read more »

Woman and man worker in quarry on excavation machine looking at a clipboard.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Orica, GQG Partners, BHP shares

Let's start the week with some new ratings from the experts

Read more »

Woman using her laptop with her feet up.
Broker Notes

This ASX 200 stock just received a fresh buy rating and is tipped to climb 15%

This stock is set to keep rising.

Read more »

Smiling man paying for his order from his phone on an EFTPOS machine at a restaurant.
Broker Notes

Ord Minnett tips this ASX financials stock to double within the next 12 months 

This stock offers a big yield and big upside.

Read more »

A group of market analysts sit and stand around their computers in an open-plan office environment.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Coles, NAB, CSL shares

Here's what Dylan Evans from Catapult Wealth thinks of these three ASX 200 shares.

Read more »