What is Morgan's view on Navigator Global Investments shares after update

Morgans sees further upside for this stock.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Navigator Global Investments Ltd (ASX: NGI) shares are in focus after the release of a quarterly assets under management (AUM) update.

This led to a 6% share price rise on opening.

At the time of writing, Navigator Global Investments shares are up 2% during today's session. 

The company remains down more than 17% year to date. 

A smiling florist gets some good news on his laptop and tablet.

Image source: Getty Images

What did the company report?

Today, the company reported: 

  • Navigator's ownership-adjusted AUM increased by 9% to USD31.6 billion in Q3, up 16% over the last 12 months
  • Total NGI Firm Level AUM2 increased by 17% to USD98 billion in Q3, up 20% over the last 12 months
  • The Lighthouse Partners business remains the largest contributor, with AUM rising 8% during the quarter to a record US$18.7 billion. Over the past 12 months, that figure is up 17%

The company advised that growth was driven by a mix of inflows and investment performance across its platform.

The company expects strong asset growth (AUM) in Q3 FY26, putting NGI in a good position for FY27.

The company continues to expect FY26 adjusted EBITDA to be lower than FY25, driven by: 

  • The timing of AUM growth recognised this quarter
  • A higher proportion of inflows into lower fee-generating AUM
  • The concentration of NGI's performance fee revenues, with the majority expected to crystallise in December

This announcement pleased investors, who were gobbling up shares in the company this morning.

What did Morgans have to say?

Following the release, the team at Morgans released updated guidance on Navigator Global Investments shares.

The broker said it was a broadly solid quarter, punctuated by a +9% increase in group Ownership adjusted AUM in a volatile market, and robust quarterly net flows into Lighthouse (+US$1.2bn). 

We update our NGI numbers for the quarterly and also following a broad review of our earnings assumptions. Our FY26F EPS estimate is revised down -3%, reflecting more conservative performance fee assumptions for the current year, while FY27F EPS moves up +2% on higher FUM estimates following today's update.

Upside and buy rating intact

It appears the company is quickly recovering from an early-year lull. 

Since late March, Navigator Global Investments shares have risen more than 23%. 

It seems that, based on Morgans' guidance, this recovery can continue. 

Morgans has retained its buy recommendation, along with a largely unchanged price target of $2.97. 

From today's current price target of $2.46, this indicates an upside potential of approximately 20%. 

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could jump 20% to 65%

Analysts think these shares are being undervalued by the market.

Read more »

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: ARB, Aurizon, and Goodman shares

Is Ord Minnett bullish or bearish on these names? Let's find out.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Two brokers pointing and analysing a share price.
Resources Shares

4 ASX mining shares to buy: brokers

Several commodities have risen this week, including iron ore, which is trading at US$111 per tonne today.

Read more »

A woman weraing a stripy t-shirt winks as she points to the decorative gold crown on her head.
Broker Notes

8 ASX 200 shares with renewed buy ratings this week

Brokers have reaffirmed their confidence in Zip, JB Hi-Fi, CSL, and other ASX 200 shares this week.

Read more »

Two men and a woman sitting in a subway train side by side, reading newspapers.
Broker Notes

2 ASX All Ords shares to buy now: broker

Bell Potter has issued new notes on an ASX All Ords materials share and retail stock.

Read more »

Sport fans cheering at a game in a stadium.
Broker Notes

7 ASX 200 shares just upgraded this week

Brokers have re-rated ANZ, Westpac, NAB, TechnologyOne, and others this week.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Broker Notes

Down 35%: Is this ASX 200 share a strong buy now?

Bell Potter has given its verdict on this tech stock.

Read more »