Why Macquarie's dividend doesn't catch my fancy

I am not excited about the passive income potential of this stock.

| More on:
A bored man sits at his desk, flat after seeing the latest news on the share market.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

I'd call Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) one of the best ASX financial shares in Australia. However, I wouldn't describe the Macquarie dividend as a leading option for passive income.

There's a lot to like about the company, with its diversified earnings across different financial activities, including asset management, retail banking and investment banking.

Another appealing factor is that around two-thirds of its earnings come from overseas, unlike the domestic-focused ASX bank shares that earn nearly all of their profit in Australia and New Zealand.

Macquarie has demonstrated its ability to deliver long-term growth. But, its dividend appeal is a different issue, in my view. Let's dig in.

Lower dividend yield

Macquarie is one of the largest financial institutions on the ASX, but its dividend yields aren't correspondingly high.

A dividend yield comprises two factors – the dividend payout ratio and the price/earnings (P/E) ratio. In other words, how much of the annual profit is paid to shareholders and what earnings multiple is the business trading at?

Sometimes, Macquarie picks a lower dividend payout ratio than peers like Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA), Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC), ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) and National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB).

In FY24, Macquarie's board of directors decided on a dividend payout ratio of 70%. According to the forecasts on Commsec, Macquarie is projected to pay a dividend per share of $7 in FY25, representing a dividend payout ratio of approximately 66% of net profit after tax (NPAT).

At the current Macquarie share price, that represents a (partially franked) dividend yield of 3.4%. That's not bad, but we can get a better savings rate from one of Macquarie's savings accounts.

Plenty of ASX dividend shares can offer a stronger dividend yield. However, there's one reason why the Macquarie dividend can become more appealing.

Growth

Macquarie has done a great job at directing its capital towards long-term growth opportunities. The company has grown its earnings significantly over the past 10 or 15 years.

A growing profit can help fund higher dividend payments, too.

Macquarie is projected to increase its payout by 8.6% to $7.60 per share in FY26, translating into a (partially franked) dividend yield of 3.7%.

The broker UBS' forecasts suggest the Macquarie dividend yield could reach more than 5% by FY29.

New capital notes?

Macquarie announced on Friday morning that it is considering the potential launch of a new capital notes offer.

It's being considered as part of Macquarie's regular capital and funding strategy. Macquarie will appoint Macquarie Capital as sole arranger and joint lead manager, as well as a number of other joint lead managers and syndicate brokers. There is no guarantee this offer will proceed, though.

Macquarie share price snapshot

Since the start of 2024, Macquarie shares have lifted 11%, as shown in the chart below.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

$5,000 in CBA shares at the start of 2025 is now worth…

Has Australia's largest bank delivered the goods for investors this year?

Read more »

Construction worker in hard hat pumps fist in front of high-rise buildings.
Resources Shares

Why this fundie is backing ASX mining shares over banks in 2026

Wilson Asset Management lead portfolio manager Matthew Haupt explains his views.

Read more »

Higher interest rates written on a yellow sign.
Broker Notes

How will interest rate hikes impact the big four ASX banks like CBA shares?

If the RBA hikes interest rates in 2026, what will that mean for ANZ, Westpac, NAB, and CBA shares?

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

Why is everyone talking about NAB shares on Friday?

NAB shares are grabbing ASX investor interest today. But why?

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Down 20% since November, are Bendigo Bank shares now a buy?

A leading investment expert delivers his outlook for Bendigo Bank shares.

Read more »

Woman holding $50 and $20 notes.
Bank Shares

$5,000 invested in Westpac shares at the start of 2025 is now worth….

The big 4 bank's shares have tumbled over the past month.

Read more »

Woman with money on the table and looking upwards.
Bank Shares

The CBA share price has fallen 19% since June, is it a buy?

Is this the right time to invest in the bank?

Read more »

Three small children reach up to hold a toy rocket high above their heads in a green field with a blue sky above them.
Bank Shares

Up 22% in a year! The red-hot ANZ share price is smashing CBA, Westpac and NAB shares

Why has the ANZ share price risen so much this year?

Read more »