One ASX 200 stock that just upgraded earnings guidance (and one that downgraded)

The fortunes of these companies are very different at present. What's going on?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A couple of ASX 200 stocks are moving in very different directions on Tuesday morning after updating their respective earnings guidance for FY 2024.

Let's now take a look at which stock has upgraded its guidance for the full year and which one has disappointingly downgraded its expectations.

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements

Image source: Getty Images

AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL)

The AGL Energy share price is rising on Tuesday after the energy company released an update on its guidance for FY 2024.

At the time of writing, its shares are currently up almost 7% to $9.95.

According to the release, the company now expects its underlying EBITDA to be between $2,120 million and $2,200 million in FY 2024. This compares to its previous guidance of $2,025 million and $2,175 million.

This represents a sizeable 56% to 61.5% increase on FY 2023's underlying EBITDA of $1,361 million.

Also getting an upgrade was the ASX 200 stock's underlying net profit after tax. This is now expected to be between $760 million and $810 million, compared to its previous guidance of $680 million and $780 million.

In FY 2023, AGL reported underlying net profit after tax of $281 million. This new guidance represents an increase of 170% to 188% year on year.

Management explained that business has been booming during the second half. It said:

The update to guidance reflects the continued strong operational and financial performance of the business since the half year results, due to improved plant availability, flexibility and generation, higher consumer demand over the summer period in New South Wales and Queensland, and continued strong Customer Markets performance.

Sims Ltd (ASX: SGM)

The Sims share price is sinking today after the ASX 200 scrap metal stock downgraded its earnings guidance for FY 2024.

Its shares are currently down a sizeable 9.5% to $10.71.

Management advised that the second-half underlying EBIT will be marginally lower than the first half. This compares to its previous guidance for underlying EBIT "to improve in H2 FY24 compared to HY1 FY24."

Commenting on the guidance downgrade, Sim's CEO and managing director, Stephen Mikkelsen, said:

Ongoing market challenges have continued across the industry. SA Recycling and ANZ Metal have faced increased challenges compared to the first half. Pleasingly, despite North America Metal facing similar market challenges, we anticipate an improved second-half performance as early positive outcomes of the targeted strategies for margin improvement are emerging. We remain confident in the medium to long-term fundamentals, driven by global decarbonisation efforts.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Alkane Resources, Bapcor, PLS, and Resolute Mining shares are sinking today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Ecstatic man giving a fist pump in an office hallway.
Share Market News

Why are Xero shares turning heads today?

A classic relief rally appears to be the biggest driver today.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why EOS, Megaport, Racura, and Xero shares are racing higher today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A young woman wearing a red and white striped t-shirt puts her hand to her chin and looks sideways as she wonders whether to buy ASX shares
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Superloop, Hansen Technologies, Select Harvests shares

Let's check out some new ratings on ASX shares today.

Read more »

Hands reaching high for a trophy with a sunset in the background.
Share Gainers

3 ASX 200 stocks storming higher in this week's slumping market

Investors sent these three ASX 200 shares flying higher in this week’s falling market. But why?

Read more »

Man pressing smiley face emoji on digital touch screen next a neutral faced and sad faced emoji.
Broker Notes

5 ASX shares with upgraded ratings this week

Brokers have new confidence in Codan, Brambles, Treasury Wine, and other stocks this week.

Read more »

A male party goer sits wearing a party hat and with a party blower in his mouth amid a bunch of balloons with a sad, serious look on his face as though the party is over or a celebration has fallen flat.
Broker Notes

5 ASX shares downgraded by brokers this week

Brokers reduced their ratings on CSL, Graincorp, and other stocks this week.

Read more »

Lines of codes and graphs in the background with woman looking at laptop trying to understand the data.
Share Fallers

Why CBA, Paladin Energy and CSL shares crashed  9% to 17% this week

Investors sent Paladin Energy, CSL, and CBA shares tumbling this week. But why?

Read more »