5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

Here's what to expect on the benchmark index today.

Business woman watching stocks and trends while thinking

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a tough session and dropped deep into the red. The benchmark index fell 1.3% to 7,569.9 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Thursday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall again

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued session on Thursday following a mixed night on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 10 points or 0.15% lower this morning. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.2%, but the S&P 500 fell 0.35% and the Nasdaq tumbled 0.3%. The US market was up significantly before paring its gains late in the day.

Oil prices sink

ASX 200 energy shares including Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) could have a disappointing session after oil prices sank overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 3.4% to US$79.14 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 3.2% to US$83.55 a barrel. Oil prices hit a seven-week low after a surprisingly large increase in stockpiles.

NAB half-year results

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price will be on watch on Thursday when the banking giant releases its half-year results. According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, the broker expects cash earnings (before one-offs) of $3,513 million. This represents a 13% reduction on the prior corresponding period. The consensus estimate is for cash earnings of $3,553 million. Goldman expects NAB to declare an 81 cents per share fully franked interim dividend. This is down 2.4% on last year's interim dividend. The consensus estimate is for NAB to keep its interim dividend flat year on year at 83 cents per share.

Buy Xero shares

The Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO) share price could be great value according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has reiterated its conviction buy rating on the cloud accounting platform provider's shares with an improved price target of $156.00. Goldman has upgraded its revenue forecasts in response to changes to Xero's Australian plans.

Gold price charges higher

It looks set to be a good session for ASX 200 gold shares Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price charged higher overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is up 1% to US$2,326.2 an ounce. The precious metal rose after the US Federal Reserve kept rates on hold and suggested that the next move would be a cut.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A neon sign says 'Top Ten'.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a Garfield kind of Monday for investors.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Catapult, Step One, WiseTech Global shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these shares. Are they buys, holds, or sells?

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Share Market News

These are the 10 most shorted ASX shares

Let's see which shares short sellers are targeting this week.

Read more »

Happy shareholders clap and smile as they listen to a company earnings report.
Share Gainers

Why Artrya, Clinuvel, Imugene, and Pilbara Minerals shares are storming higher today

These shares are starting the week in a positive fashion. But why?

Read more »

Woman calculating dividends on calculator and working on a laptop.
Share Market News

Charter Hall Group declares interim distribution for 1H FY26

Charter Hall Group declares a 24.83-cent half-year distribution for the six months to 31 December 2025, with most of it…

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Andean Silver, Boss Energy, Chalice Mining, and Rio Tinto shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A man leaps from a stack of gold coins to the next, each one higher than the last.
Broker Notes

Up 300% this year, 3 reasons to buy this ASX All Ords gold stock today

A leading broker sees further ‘clear upside’ potential for this rocketing ASX gold stock.

Read more »