1 ASX 200 mining stock to buy and hold forever

Rio Tinto looks to me like a strong miner to own for the long term.

| More on:
Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) mining stock Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) is an appealing miner to dig into in my opinion.

The ASX 200 includes many significant mining companies, such as BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP), Fortescue Ltd (ASX: FMG), Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN), and Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS).

I own Fortescue shares, but my optimism about that company is based on its green energy division rather than its iron ore mining. But I would pick Rio Tinto for its mining credentials. Here's why.

Increasing focus on green materials

Rio Tinto makes a lot of profit from iron ore, but I'm pleased to see the business is diversifying its earnings base. It has a sizeable aluminium unit and recently acquired a 50% stake in Matalco for US$738 million to become a leader of recycled aluminium supply in North America.

The ASX 200 mining stock has also been growing its exposure to copper. It owns the Kennecott mine in the United States and attempting to progress the Resolution Copper project. It also owns 66% of the Oyu Tolgoi mine in Mongolia, which is one of the largest copper and gold deposits in the world.

According to Rio Tinto, global demand is expected to rise by between 1.5% to 2.5% due to electrification and increasing renewable energy.

The fund manager L1 thinks there are signs the copper price could move closer to "scarcity pricing" over the next few years for two reasons.

On the demand side, there are electrification tailwinds, incremental data centres and AI-related demand, as well as the potential for global manufacturing activity to ease monetary policy.

L1 also suggests there is constrained supply resulting from the "insufficient number of new major mines planned over the next decade and the significant decline of the existing production base."

I think Rio Tinto is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for copper over the rest of the decade.

The business also has a small exposure to lithium, and I wouldn't be surprised if it increased its exposure to green commodities further in the future.

African iron ore

Rio Tinto is one of the main miners working on the Simandou project in the south-east of Guinea, which is reportedly the world's largest untapped reserve of high-grade iron ore, estimated at over 2 billion tonnes.

I think Rio's diversification away from being a pure Australian iron ore miner is a good move.

Once completed, Simandou is likely to help Rio Tinto reduce costs, strengthen overall production, and enable good cash flow.

Strong commitment to dividends

The ASX 200 mining stock is "committed to maintaining an appropriate balance between cash returns to shareholders and investment in the business, with the intention of maximising long-term shareholder value."

Rio Tinto's board expects total cash returns to shareholders over the longer term to be between 40% and 60% of underlying earnings in aggregate throughout the cycle. It intends to pay additional returns to shareholders in periods of strong earnings and cash generation.

Ideally, I'd buy Rio Tinto shares at an appealing point in the cycle and then hold for the recovery and receive pleasing dividends over time.

Foolish takeaway

Rio Tinto is a strong miner, and I think it could be a good ASX 200 mining share to hold for the long term.

If I could choose, a price under $120 or even under $110 would be preferred – this would also help the long-term dividend yield.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has positions in Fortescue. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 mining shares outperform as iron ore and copper prices strengthen

BHP, Fortescue, and Rio Tinto shares reached new 52-week highs while the ASX 200 edged up 0.24%.

Read more »

gold, gold miner, gold discovery, gold nugget, gold price,
Resources Shares

This ASX mining stock is up 350% in 2025 and its gold hunt just hit hyper speed

Big year ahead.

Read more »

A green fully charged battery symbol surrounded by green charge lights representing the surging Vulcan share price today
Share Market News

Up 300% in 6 months! This soaring ASX lithium stock just took a major step to production

Marching forward.

Read more »

A black cat waiting to pounce on a mouse.
Resources Shares

$2,000 in this ASX share two years ago would be worth $8,078 today

Two years ago, this ASX small-cap stock was worth 25.5 cents. Today, it's trading at $1.03.

Read more »

two people sit side by side on a rollercoaster ride with their hands raised in the air and happy smiles on their faces
Opinions

Up over 200% in 6 months: Are Pilbara Minerals shares still a buy?

How high can the lithium producer’s shares go?

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Expert lists its top resources shares to target in December

These resources shares could be set to benefit from improving market conditions.

Read more »

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly
Resources Shares

Major ASX 200 mining shares hit 52-week highs

BHP, Fortescue, and Rio Tinto shares set new 52-week highs today.

Read more »

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Share Market News

Up 76% in less than a year and this ASX mining stock just revealed some "exceptional" gold news

“Outstanding” results.

Read more »