Have Woolworths and Coles shares been spared a break-up?

A review has rejected the notion of breaking up the supermarkets…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Both Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) and Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) have arguably been some of the go-to punching bags for Australian consumers over the past year or two as the cost of living crunch we're all enduring started to bite.

Buying life's essentials has only become harder for many Australian families since 2021. That's thanks to rising interest rates and stubbornly high inflation taking a sizeable chunk out of the average household budget.

Much of the inflation swirling around the economy has been evident on supermarket shelves. As such, it's probably fair to say that both Coles and Woolies have taken a bit of a hit in the court of public opinion.

So it was not too surprising to see the Federal Government act on some of these concerns earlier this year. In January, the government announced that former minister Dr Craig Emerson would lead a review of the Food and Grocery Code of Conduct.

Thanks to comments and opinions across the political spectrum in recent months, some investors may have started to worry that this review might recommend drastic changes to how Coles and Woolworths are allowed to operate in the Australian grocery space. Members of the Liberal, National and Greens political parties have all called for Coles and Woolworths to be 'broken up' in various ways.

Well, those investors can breathe a sigh of relief today.

a woman pushes a man standing in a shopping trolley pointing ahead far off into the distance.

Image source: Getty Images

Woolworths and Coles shares safe from breakup

Dr Emerson's review has just released an interim report detailing its initial findings in the grocery sector.

The interim report makes several strong recommendations to the government on how to change supermarket regulations. These include making the now-voluntary Food and Grocery Code of Conduct mandatory for all grocery companies with more than $5 billion in annual revenues.

It also recommends significant penalties for any company that breaches the code. It noted that the current environment allows "no penalties for breaches".

However, the report also comes out strongly against the idea of divestiture of a supermarket 'break up':

The review does not support a forced divestiture power to address market power issues in the
supermarket industry…

If forced divestiture resulted in a supermarket selling some of its stores to another large incumbent
supermarket chain, the result could easily be greater market concentration.

If large incumbent supermarket chains were prohibited from buying the divested stores, that would
leave only smaller supermarket chains and foreign supermarkets as potential buyers. Further, if these
smaller chains were not interested, or were not in a position to buy, these stores would be forced to
close…

This review's recommendations to make the Code mandatory, with heavy penalties for major
breaches will, alongside effective enforcement of the existing competition laws, constitute a far more
credible deterrent to anti-competitive behaviour than forced divesture laws.

Foolish takeaway

So it seems that Coles and Woolworths will likely keep their present corporate structures, based on the findings of this review.

Owners of Coles and Woolworths shares will undoubtedly be pleased with this outcome — not that you'd know it from their stock prices today. At present, Woolworths shares are down 0.12%, while Coles stock has lost 1.28%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Coles Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Is this beaten-down ASX software stock hiding a dividend winner?

A growing global business may be hiding behind the market’s pessimism.

Read more »

Friend enjoying a meal at a restaurant, symbolising passive income.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Treasury Wine Estates shares rebound 39% from 12-year low: Can they keep going?

The ASX wine stock suffered multiple headwinds through 2025.

Read more »

Woman with headphones on relaxing and looking at her phone happily.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Nick Scali shares are set for a 36% rebound: Expert

This stock could be the pick of the bunch in the consumer discretionary sector.

Read more »

A little boy surrounded by green grass and trees looks up at the sky, waiting for rain or sunshine.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why are Light & Wonder shares flying 9% higher today?

It looks like investor confidence is climbing higher after the company's latest update.

Read more »

A couple in a supermarket laugh as they discuss which fruits and vegetables to buy
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

ASX consumer staples shares are quietly surging while the rest of the market stalls. Here is why

Here is what is driving the defensive rotation into consumer staples shares.

Read more »

A woman relaxes on a yellow couch with a book and cuppa, and looks pensively away as she contemplates the joy of earning passive income.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Are Adairs shares a buy, hold or sell after their trading update?

Here's the latest guidance from Bell Potter

Read more »

Woman standing in a wheat farm with a tractor.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why this could be the best buy in the consumer staples sector right now: Expert 

This stock could be set to rise 35%.

Read more »

Excited woman holding out $100 notes, symbolising dividends.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

2 ASX blue-chip shares offering big dividend yields

These businesses offer significant, reliable dividend income.

Read more »