The ASX 200 stock that could get second time lucky

These shares have failed to impress in 2024, but many experts believe it's a bargain buy.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Can lightning hit twice in the same spot?

The old cliche suggests it doesn't, but scientifically lightning certainly can and does strike twice in the same place.

If you're on the scientists' side, it might be time to consider buying Santos Ltd (ASX: STO).

Curious? Read on.

female in hard hat crosses fingers

Image source: Getty Images

The ASX 200 marriage that never was

Late last year, the oil and gas giant explored whether it would merge with its larger S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) rival Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS).

The Santos share price had been stagnant for the past half-decade, and this deal was meant to be the light at the end of the tunnel for its long-suffering shareholders.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio sits at half of Woodside's.

Unfortunately, last month the merger talks were terminated. Neither side has publicly revealed the reasons the deal fell over.

The Santos share price immediately sank 8% when that news came.

Then just to rub salt into the wound, the shares plunged again after its 2023 full year result failed to impress investors.

Both underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) and free cash flow from operations headed 42% for the year.

Ouch.

Could the romance be rekindled?

Despite these events, Shaw and Partners senior investment advisor Jed Richards right now thinks Santos is the far stronger buy than Woodside.

"The future growth prospects pipeline is far stronger for Santos than Woodside Energy, in my view," Richards told The Bull.

And he reckons the Woodside marriage story is not over yet.

"Santos has positioned itself well over the past few years to be an attractive addition for Woodside.

"Although the last round of negotiations hasn't resulted in a merger, I expect this strategy will be addressed again in the future."

It seems Richards is not the only professional keen on Santos right now.

According to broking platform CMC Invest, 13 out of 17 analysts currently rate the energy stock as a buy.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Investing Strategies

A smartly-dressed businesswoman walks outside while making a trade on her mobile phone.
Growth Shares

3 ASX growth shares I'd buy to build long-term wealth

These businesses help families, advisers, consumers, or households solve real problems, and I think each has room to grow.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Cheap Shares

3 cheap ASX 200 shares to buy with $5,000

Big returns could be on offer with these cheap shares according to analysts.

Read more »

Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.
Dividend Investing

Is this one of the best ASX dividend shares to buy now offering a 5.9% yield?

Bell Potter rates this dividend shares very highly.

Read more »

Rising arrow on a piggy bank with a woman holding it and smiling.
Growth Shares

2 ASX growth shares to buy with big growth potential!

Analysts are excited about the prospects of these businesses…

Read more »

Man holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

5 ASX dividend stocks for passive income investors

Income investors might want to check these shares if they want to boost their portfolio.

Read more »

Three excited business people cheer around a laptop in the office
Growth Shares

3 amazing ASX growth shares to buy and hold forever

Analysts think these shares could be buys for growth investors.

Read more »

A woman stands at her desk looking at her phone with a panoramic view of the harbour bridge in the windows behind her.
Investing Strategies

3 high-quality Australian shares I'd buy with $10,000

I would focus on companies with strong positions, clear demand, and the ability to stay relevant for years.

Read more »

Boys making faces and flexing.
Small Cap Shares

3 ASX small-cap shares to buy: Morgans

ASX small caps are underperforming in 2026, but Morgans sees opportunity with these 3 companies.

Read more »