Why is this ASX 200 share rising at nearly quadruple the rate of its peers?

This stock has shot the lights out over the past 12 months.

| More on:
A business woman flexes her muscles overlooking a city scape below.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

ASX 200 property share Goodman Group (ASX: GMG) is trading 0.58% lower on Friday at $30.79.

The industrial property specialist has been on a tear over the past year, up 56%, in fact.

This compares to its peers in the S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index (ASX: XPJ), which are trading 16% higher over the same period.

So, why is the Goodman share price growing at nearly quadruple the rate of other ASX 200 real estate stocks?

Go, you good thing!

Goodman Group is the biggest real estate investment trust (REIT) on the ASX 200 with a $58.8 billion market capitalisation.

Last year, it was one of the top five most profitable large-cap ASX 200 shares.

The ASX REIT released its 1H FY24 results last month. Goodman Group reported a 29% year-over-year increase in operating profit to $1.13 billion. This was higher than it had expected and resulted in a FY24 guidance upgrade.

The ASX 200 share rose 7% on the news. So, investors are feeling pretty happy right now.

Why is Goodman outperforming its peers by so much?

Well, one factor is likely its key point of difference in owning and managing many industrial property assets.

Industrial is hot property

Large warehouses and the like are in high demand today due to the expanding digital economy.

And the growth in artificial intelligence is adding fuel to the fire.

Online retailers and cloud computing companies are among the major commercial customers competing fiercely for large industrial properties like the ones Goodman owns.

Industrial property is in short supply nationally, which gives Goodman two major opportunities.

It can maximise its rental returns, with like-for-like net property income (NPI) growth coming in at 5% and portfolio occupancy remaining high at 98.4%.

It also has the money to buy more existing warehouses or the land to build them on.

Goodman has 85 projects in the development pipeline worth a collective $12.9 billion. Data centres make up 37% of the pipeline. The forecast yield on cost is 6.7%.

CEO Greg Goodman reckons cap rates for prime assets are currently attractive, making the group "focused on the buying opportunity".

Goodman's total assets under management are now worth $79 billion, down 2% from 30 June 2023.

What's ahead for Goodman Group?

Commenting on the outlook, CEO Greg Goodman said:

Our focus on providing the essential infrastructure for the digital economy is supporting the positive
outlook for FY24. Data centres will be a key area of growth and the acceleration of data centre activity is a catalyst for the Group to consider multiple opportunities to enhance its returns.

Given positive structural trends, we expect continued customer and investor demand for our high quality industrial and digital infrastructure assets. Supply constraints in our locations are expected to continue to drive rental growth and maintain high occupancy rates across the portfolio.

ASX 200 share price snapshot

This ASX 200 property share has gained 131% in market capitalisation over the past five years.

This compares to 7.3% for the S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Goodman Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Goodman Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Real Estate Shares

Rising green arrow coming out of a house.
Real Estate Shares

How does Bell Potter view this real estate stock after yesterday's 10% rise?

Can this red hot real estate stock keep rising?

Read more »

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
Real Estate Shares

Dexus shares lift after property update and dividend news

Dexus has released a property valuation update and confirmed its next distribution.

Read more »

Two businessmen look out at the city from the top of a tall building.
Real Estate Shares

Are Lendlease shares a bargain after hitting fresh lows?

Brokers are not convinced.

Read more »

two businessmen shake hands amid a backdrop of tall buildings, indicating a share price movement or merger between ASX property companies
Real Estate Shares

Why are this storage outfit's shares more than 10% higher today? I'll tell you my theory

Takeover speculation has shares in this major storage company trending sharply higher.

Read more »

A man wearing a red jacket and mountain hiking clothes stands at the top of a mountain peak and looks out over countless mountain ranges.
Real Estate Shares

Up 65% this year: Are Charter Hall Group shares still a buy?

Charter Hall Group shares reached an all-time peak on Friday morning.

Read more »

Magnifying glass in front of an open newspaper with paper houses.
Real Estate Shares

How much could $10,000 in REA Group shares be worth in a year?

Are REA shares a buy low candidate?

Read more »

Magnifying glass in front of an open newspaper with paper houses.
Real Estate Shares

Down nearly 20% this year: Is it time to buy Lendlease shares

The property development and construction company returned to profit in August.

Read more »

a family stands together behind a sold sign with their new house in the background.
Broker Notes

Where to from here for REA Group shares?

The competitive threats to REA Group are mounting, the team at Macquarie says.

Read more »