5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Thursday

A better day is expected for Aussie investors on Thursday.

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On Wednesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) had a tough session. The benchmark index fell 0.7% to 7,468.5 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Wednesday? Here are five things to watch:

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ASX 200 expected to rebound

The Australian share market looks set to rebound on Wednesday following a strong night of trade on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 15 points or 0.2% higher this morning. In late trade on Wall Street, the Dow Jones is up 0.45%, the S&P 500 has risen 0.6%, and the Nasdaq is 0.8% higher.

Oil prices fall

It looks set to be a poor session for ASX 200 energy shares including Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices fell overnight. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price is down 1.2% to US$71.37 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price is down 1% to US$76.83 a barrel. Oil prices fell after the US reported a surprise inventory build.

South32 upgraded to buy rating

Goldman Sachs believes that investors should be snapping up South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) shares while they are cheap. This morning, the broker upgraded the mining giant's shares to a buy rating with a $3.80 price target. The broker said: "GS bullish copper, aluminium, zinc and met coal (~65% of S32 NTM EBITDA): leading to improving FCF in FY25 (yield of ~10%) and forecast strong recovery in S32's EBITDA (+50%) in FY25."

Gold price edges lower

ASX 200 gold shares such as Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a subdued day of trade after the gold price edged lower overnight. According to CNBC, the spot gold price is down 0.25% to US$2,028.1 an ounce. Traders appear nervous ahead of the release of US inflation data.

Regis Resources downgraded

Goldman Sachs thinks that Regis Resources Ltd (ASX: RRL) shares are close to being fully valued now. This morning, the broker downgraded the gold miner's shares to a neutral rating with a $2.25 price target. It said: "With RRL's low priced gold hedges now closed, we see more limited near-term catalysts for the stock, with double-digit FCF yields now more priced in on a P/NAV basis, and downgrade RRL to Neutral."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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