ASX 200 gold shares are starting the week with a bang. Here's why

The ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index is up a whopping 8% in early trade on Monday.

| More on:
A man in a business suit looks at a gold phone with his head in an exploding cloud of gold dust.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ASX 200 gold shares are surging today
  • The gold price is up 3% since Friday
  • Economists are now forecasting less aggressive tightening from the US Fed amid still high inflation, a good recipe for gold

S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gold shares are rocketing out of the blocks on Monday.

At the time of writing, Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) shares are up 8.7%.

Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) shares are up 6.8%.

And Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) shares are up 10.3%.

Boom!

The blue-chip Aussie gold miners' surge is helping send the S&P/ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index (ASX: XGD) – which also contains smaller miners outside of the ASX 200 gold shares – up a whopping 8% in early trade.

This comes as the benchmark index is down 0.45% following weakness in US and European markets on Friday.

What's driving ASX 200 gold shares higher today?

Investors are bidding up the ASX 200 gold shares following a big leg up in the gold price.

On Friday, the miners came under pressure as the yellow metal's rally faltered and the price slipped to US$1,923 per troy ounce.

Over the weekend, the rally regained steam to see gold trading for US$1,989 per ounce. It's slipped a tad since, currently trading for  US$1,977 per ounce, up 2.8% from Friday's levels.

Gold – and ASX 200 gold shares – have benefited from the global uncertainty stemming from the banking crisis unfolding in the United States and Europe.

Investors have again upped their exposure to the yellow metal, a classic haven asset, with economists increasingly forecasting that the financial instability will see the US Federal Reserve, and other central banks, ease off on the past year's rapid interest rate hikes.

Less aggressive rate hikes amid still high inflation would offer further tailwinds for gold, which doesn't offer any yield itself.

Commenting on the outlook for gold — and, by extension, ASX 200 gold shares — TD Securities global head of commodity strategy Bart Melek said (courtesy of Kitco News) said, "Markets are concluding that we'll see the Fed go for another 25bps increase and then probably sit on it for a while and see what happens."

Melek added:

The view from the gold perspective is that given disruptions in the banking system and the US Treasury Department's willingness to help, we might get accommodation that allows inflation to hang around longer at a higher level. This is a good thing for gold.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Teen standing in a city street smiling and throwing sparkling gold glitter into the air.
ETFs

$10,000 invested in GDX ETF a year ago is now worth…

Are you invested in the VanEck Gold Miners AUD ETF?

Read more »

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today.
Gold

ASX gold shares go crazy as gold price rips toward US$5,000 on Friday

The gold price hit a new record of US$4,958 per ounce in early afternoon trading.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

Up 145% in 12 months: Why it isn't too late to buy Regis Resources shares

This gold miner's shares could still be good value. Here's what Bell Potter thinks.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Gold

Bell Potter says this ASX 200 gold share is a buy with 18% upside

This gold miner could be heading even higher according to the broker.

Read more »

An ASX 200 share investor runs and leaps over rows and rows of blocks, as they topple in his wake.
Gold

After today's 8% plunge, is Northern Star now a buy for gold investors?

Northern Star shares are sliding nearly 9% after a softer guidance.

Read more »

ASX 200 investor looking worried about her investment and share prices.
Share Market News

ASX 200 drops as lower unemployment raises the risk of an interest rate hike

New jobs data has enhanced fears of an interest rate hike to quell resurgent inflation.

Read more »

a woman wearing a sparkly strapless dress leans on a neat stack of six gold bars as she smiles and looks to the side as though she is very happy and protective of her stash. She also has gold fingernails and gold glitter pieces affixed to her cheeks.
Gold

With gold up 71%, which is the best ASX gold ETF to buy?

Investors are spoilt for choice when it comes to gold.

Read more »

A shocked man sits at his desk looking at his laptop while talking on his mobile phone with declining arrows in the background representing falling ASX 200 shares today
Gold

Pantoro shares plunge 10% today. What just happened?

Pantoro shares fall sharply despite a strong quarterly result and solid cash balance.

Read more »