Should you buy Telstra shares for their 'defensive qualities'?

What's the outlook for the ASX's big telco?

| More on:
A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Telstra share price has slid 2%  in the year to date 
  • One broker is recommending investors sell Telstra shares for better gains elsewhere 
  • The ACCC has recently dealt a blow to Telstra's network-sharing deal with TPG

The Telstra Group Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price has risen slightly in the last month, but is it a buy or sell?

Telstra shares have climbed 2% in the last month and are currently fetching $4.02. On Wednesday, Telstra shares closed 0.5% lower for the day.

Let's take a look at the outlook for the Telstra share price.

Is Telstra a buy or sell

Telstra is the largest telecommunications company in Australia by market share. However, broker coverage on the Telstra share price is mixed.

Seneca investment adviser Tony Langford is recommending investors look elsewhere for more attractive share price growth. Yet, he highlighted Telstra's "defensive qualities" and dividend yield. Commenting on The Bull, he said:

Telstra appeals for its defensive qualities and dividend yield in volatile markets. At its full year results, Telstra forecast total income to range between $23 billion and $25 billion in fiscal year 2023.

But we believe investors can find more attractive share price growth elsewhere. The shares were priced at $4.26 on January 18. The shares were trading at $4.04 on December 15.

On the flip side, Morgans recommended shareholders buy Telstra in December. The broker placed a $4.60 price target on the company's shares.

As my Foolish colleague James reported, Morgans is positive on the telco's earnings momentum and balance sheet. The broker also believes Telstra's InfraCo business can generate more value for shareholders. Morgans is also tipping Telstra to pay fully franked dividends of 16.5 cents per share in FY 2023 and FY 2024. Analysts said:

After a major turnaround, TLS has emerged in good shape with strong earnings momentum and a strong balance sheet. In late CY22 shareholders vote[d] on Telstra's legal restructure, which opens the door for value to be released. […] TLS currently trades on ~7x EV/EBITDA.

However some of TLS's high quality long life assets like InfraCo are worth substantially more, in our view. We don't think this is in the price so see it as value generating for TLS shareholders.

In news on Wednesday, the Australian and Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) has blocked Telstra's proposed regional mobile network deal with TPG Telecom Ltd (ASX: TPG) due to competition concerns.

The agreement would have provided TPG with access to 3,700 of Telstra's mobile network assets. Telstra would also have gained access to TPG's spectrum on the 4G and 5G network, delivering between $1.6 billion and $1.8 billion over 10 years.

Share price snapshot

The Telstra share price has descended 2.66% in the last year.

Telstra has a market capitalisation of about $46.6 billion based on the current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Telstra Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended TPG Telecom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Communication Shares

A woman looks shocked as she drinks a coffee while reading the paper.
Communication Shares

Bell Potter just raised its price target on this ASX communications stock

Is this soaring communications stock still a buy?

Read more »

Woman in a hammock relaxing, symbolising passive income.
Communication Shares

How many Telstra shares do I need to buy for $1,000 of annual passive income?

How easy would it be to earn a 4-digit income from Telstra?

Read more »

A woman wearing headphones looks delighted and animated on news she's receiving from her mobile phone that she is holding close to her face.
Opinions

Forget Telstra shares, I'd buy this ASX telco stock instead

This telco is set to soar higher.

Read more »

A man wearing a colourful shirt holds an old fashioned phone to his ear with a look of curiosity on his face as though he is pondering the answer to a question.
Communication Shares

Would Warren Buffett buy Telstra shares?

Would Warren Buffett call on Telstra for a place in the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio?

Read more »

Two men and a woman sitting in a subway train side by side, reading newspapers.
Communication Shares

Which ASX media share to buy: News Corp, Nine or REA Group?

Brokers see upside for all 3 but favour one.

Read more »

A man is connected via his laptop or smart phone using cloud tech, indicating share price movement for ASX tech shares and asx tech shares
Communication Shares

Which telco challenger brand could deliver a 33% return?

Jarden picks a winner in the competitive telco sector.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Communication Shares

$20,000 of Telstra shares can net me a $1,774 passive income!

This business is projected to deliver major income…

Read more »

A man casually dressed looks to the side in a pensive, thoughtful manner with one hand under his chin, holding a mobile phone in his hand while thinking about something.
Communication Shares

This is the stock price I would buy Telstra shares at

What is the right price for Telstra?

Read more »