2023 is already looking much better for ASX shares. Here's why

Multiple experts are loving the outlook for next year. These are the reasons why you should buy up the bargains now.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Investors can look forward to a much more positive 2023 after leaving behind a distressing 2022, according to multiple experts.

Fidelity International investment director Tom Stevenson said in the UK's The Telegraph that with shares, bonds, cryptocurrencies and gold all failing, this year "cash has been the only safe harbour".

"I think 2023 could be very different and I expect to look back in 12 months' time on a much more satisfactory year in the markets."

DeVere Group chief executive Nigel Green agreed.

"After an astonishing bull run of 13 years, financial markets went into bear territory in 2022 amid increasing global volatility, creating a pretty grim environment," he said.

"However, the landscape is already looking brighter for the year ahead."

Happy woman shopping online.

Image source: Getty Images

4 reasons why 2023 will see better investment returns

Green named four forces that would "excite" global financial markets in the new year.

The first tailwind will be inflation passing its peak.

"As inflation begins a return to target, the cost of living will drop for consumers and central banks will ease their feet off the economic brakes, going easier on interest rate hikes before winding down."

Once that happens, investors will be happy to dive in because of the second force — discounted asset valuations.

"Market volatility has lowered valuations of some high-quality equities, which can create better long-term investment opportunities and generate higher income for investors," said Green.

"In many cases, they will be currently viewing this backdrop as a buying opportunity to top-up their portfolios."

The third tailwind is the continuing digitisation of business.

"This will help increase efficiency, increase productivity, lower operational costs, improve customer experience, improve competitive advantage, and improve speed and outcomes of decision making."

Finally, a weakening US dollar would help pretty much every country.

According to Green, the greenback had been pumped up in 2022 from investors looking for a safe haven during troubled times. The US Federal Reserve's steep interest rate rises has also made the US dollar more attractive.

"This has negatively impacted both developed and emerging markets globally, fuelling inflation and raising the cost of imported goods. It has also added to the need for some central banks around the world to tighten their own financial conditions," he said.

"But we expect the dollar strength to peak in mid-2023."

Don't get investment sentiment mixed up with the actual economy

Stevenson predicted that in 12 months' time sentiment will have shifted considerably from now.

"By the end of next year, stock markets will be looking through the ongoing recession to better times ahead," he said.

"And bonds will have responded to falling interest rates as central banks shift their attention from overcoming inflation to supporting the economy."

The paradox is that the global economy is likely to remain pretty gloomy throughout 2023, especially in Europe and the US. But Stevenson reminded investors that shares and bonds are all forward-looking.

"I expect to see positive returns from both bonds and shares next year, which may surprise an observer focused on the economic headlines," he said.

"Holding a balanced and diversified portfolio throughout remains sensible."

Green urged investors to snap up bargains now to hop on the ride.

"We expect some key market, macro and policy shifts that will provide a significantly more positive outlook for investors in 2023."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Investing Strategies

a man wearing casual clothes fans a selection of Australian banknotes over his chin with an excited, widemouthed expression on his face.
Growth Shares

3 ASX shares that could double over the next decade (or much sooner)

These shares could be positioned to deliver strong returns in the future. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A young female investor with brown curly hair and wearing a yellow top and glasses sits at her desk using her calculator to work out how much her ASX dividend shares will pay this year
Investing Strategies

3 quality ASX shares to buy for a beginner investor

These beginner-friendly ASX shares offer a mix of quality, growth, and simplicity.

Read more »

Two people work with a digital map of the world, planning their logistics on a global scale.
Index investing

What are the ASX's top 3 index funds for passive investing?

Anyone can buy and hold these index funds forever.

Read more »

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Cheap Shares

Are '50% off' CSL shares a once-in-a-decade opportunity?

This biotech giant's shares have lost half of their value. Let's see if now is the time to snap them…

Read more »

Man holding fifty Australian Dollar banknotes in his hands, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

3 top ASX dividend share buys for passive income in April

These are my top picks for dividends right now.

Read more »

A golden egg with dividend cash flying out of it
Growth Shares

Forget Easter eggs, these ASX shares could be your best buys this month

These shares could be top buys after the Easter break.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Are CBA shares still a good buy for passive income?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on CBA’s passive income appeal.

Read more »

A young man talks tech on his phone while looking at a laptop with a financial graph superimposed across the image.
Cheap Shares

3 ASX shares to buy before the next market rally

These shares appear well-placed to rebound with the market when sentiment shifts.

Read more »