Why is the Aristocrat share price diving despite a 27% profit boost?

Uncertain conditions cited by management may be spooking some ASX 200 investors today.

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Key points

  • The Aristocrat share price is down 7%
  • The ASX 200 gaming technology company released its 12-month financial results this morning
  • The company expects the trend of lower growth and profits from its Pixel United segment to continue

The Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ASX: ALL) share price is down 7% in early trade.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) gaming technology company closed yesterday trading for $37.88 and are currently changing hands for $35.24 apiece.

As reported earlier by my Fool colleague, this comes following the release of Aristocrat's financial results for the 12 months ending 30 September.

Aristocrat share price slides as profits soar

Despite the company delivering revenue of $5.57 billion, up 17.7% year on year, investors are selling down Aristocrat shares in late-morning trade. Normalised earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $1.85 billion, an increase of 20% from the prior year, was also insufficient to boost investor sentiment.

Even total dividends of 52 cents per share, fully franked, an increase of 26.8% from the prior corresponding 12 months, has not been enough to stem the fall in Aristocrat shares today.

What else happened over the 12 months?

The Aristocrat share price failed to receive a lift this morning from the company's strong balance sheet. As at 30 September the company had a net cash position of $564 million and liquidity of $3.8 billion.

Aristocrat reported that its Gaming and Pixel United assets continued to grow and diversify over the 12 months, driven by "exceptional performance" in North American Gaming Operations and global Outright Sales.

Its Americas margin expanded by 2.7% to 56.1%. This was achieved despite headwinds from supply chain disruptions and mixed operating conditions across its core markets.

On the downside, and possibly pressuring the Aristocrat share price today, overall mobile bookings at its Pixel United segment "moderated" from their post-COVID levels in the prior reporting year.

The company's Ukrainian operations were impacted by Russia's invasion, with Aristocrat assisting most of its Ukrainian workforce to relocate to safer places.

What did management say?

Commenting on the results, CEO Trevor Croker said:

As we look ahead, we believe that Aristocrat's outstanding product portfolios, growing operational resilience and capability, along with a highly engaged team and strong culture, positions us well to maintain our momentum despite uncertain conditions.

It may be that these "uncertain conditions" are spooking ASX 200 investors this morning and pressuring the Aristocrat share price.

What's next?

The company reported it expects to deliver NPATA growth over the full year to 30 September 2023.

Aristocrat said it will continue to seek opportunities for future growth, including markets in Poland, Spain and Canada, as well as bringing forward additional game development capabilities.

Looking ahead, the company expects continued "strong revenue and profit growth" from its Aristocrat Gaming segment.

Potentially dragging on the Aristocrat share price is the expectation of continuing lower growth in bookings and profit from Pixel United, compared to recent years.

Aristocrat share price snapshot

With today's intraday fall factored in, the Aristocrat share price is down 22% year to date. That compares to a calendar year loss of 6% posted by the ASX 200.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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