Broker says the Coles share price is great value post-Q1 update

Is it time to buy Coles share

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price is back on form on Thursday.

In afternoon trade, the supermarket operator's shares are up almost 1% to $16.30.

Happy man on a supermarket trolley full of groceries with a woman standing beside him.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Coles share price rising?

Investors have been buying the company's shares today after brokers responded reasonably positively to yesterday's quarterly update.

One of those brokers was Morgans, which has retained its add rating with a trimmed price target of $19.50.

Based on the current Coles share price, this implies potential upside of almost 20% for investors over the next 12 months.

The broker is also forecasting a 64 cents per share fully franked dividend in FY 2023, which equates to an attractive dividend yield of 3.9%.

What did the broker say?

Overall, Morgans was pleased with Coles' first quarter update. The broker commented:

Coles Group's 1Q23 sales trading update reflected the cycling of COVID lockdowns in the pcp with growth overall that was slightly above our expectations. LFL sales growth: Supermarkets +2.1% (vs MorgansF -1.2%); Liquor -4.1% (vs MorgansF -3.5%); and Express (c-store) +9.0% (vs MorgansF +8.5%).

However, due partly to the expectation of further cost price inflation in the second quarter, Morgans has trimmed its earnings estimates ever so slightly.

We make minor adjustments to earnings forecasts with FY23F/FY24F/FY25F underlying EBIT changing by -1%/0%/0%. Our equally-blended (DCF, SOTP, PE) target price falls to $19.50 and we retain our Add rating.

Nevertheless, the broker sees plenty of value in the Coles share price at the current level. It concludes:

Trading on 20.6x FY23F PE and 4.0% yield, we continue to see COL as offering good value with the company's solid balance sheet and defensive characteristics putting it in a good position to navigate through a weaker economic environment. The unwinding of local shopping should also help further market share gains.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Health professional looking at a laptop.
Broker Notes

Is the Telix share price heading to $19? This broker thinks it is

Bell Potter remains bullish on this name. Here's what it is saying.

Read more »

Happy man working on his laptop.
Broker Notes

Broker says this ASX 200 stock can deliver a 20% return

Bell Potter is bullish on this fintech stock. Let's see what is saying about this one.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Broker Notes

ASX 200 shares with renewed buy ratings this week

Brokers have signalled ongoing confidence in Zip, ANZ, Coles, and several other ASX 200 shares.

Read more »

Comical investor reading documents and surrounded by calculators.
Broker Notes

4 ASX 200 shares newly upgraded this week

As the Iran war and fuel crisis continues, some ASX 200 shares have attracted upgrades from the experts.

Read more »

A smiling woman puts fuel into her car at a petrol pump.
Broker Notes

Up 60% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Ampol shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Ampol’s surging shares. But why?

Read more »

Smiling worker in metal landfill.
Broker Notes

Up 45% in a year, 3 reasons to buy Sims shares today

A leading analyst forecasts more outperformance from Sims' soaring share price. But why?

Read more »

A bland looking man in a brown suit opens his jacket to reveal a red and gold superhero dollar symbol on his chest.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names more of the best ASX shares to buy in April

The broker has good things to say about the shares this month.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

2 ASX shares downgraded by Morgans this week

Let's see what the broker is saying about these two names.

Read more »