Down 9% in a month, could the Woolworths share price turn around in October?

What's in store for shares of the supermarket giant?

| More on:
A female Woolworths customer leans on her shopping trolley as she rests her chin in her hand thinking about what to buy for dinner while also wondering why the Woolworths share price isn't doing as well as Coles recently

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Woolworths shares have been in the red lately 
  • However, some analysts believe the supermarket giant's shares can rise, despite interest rate rises squeezing consumer spending
  • The Woolworths share price has fallen more than 12% year to date 

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price struggled in September, but could there be better days ahead?

Woolworths shares have fallen 9.49% since market close on 6 September and are currently trading at $33.35 apiece. For perspective, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has lost 0.18% over the same time frame.

Let's check the outlook for the Woolworths share price.

Could the Woolworths share price rise?

Woolworths is not the only ASX consumer share to fall in the past month. The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has descended nearly 7% since market close on 6 September, while Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES) has lost nearly 2%.

Amid higher interest rates, average daily spending on groceries fell by 19% in September, The Age reported. However, Jarden believes Woolworths can weather the storm. In comments cited by the publication, Jarden said:

The value shopper is returning and Aldi is forecast to be the second-fastest growing retailer over the next 12 months, with Woolworths number one.

We remain cautious on the outlook for the consumer and believe staples and fast-moving consumer goods should perform well against this backdrop

In the 2022 financial year, Woolworths' net profit after tax (NPAT) increased by 0.7% to $1,514 million while group sales lifted 9.2%. Woolworths paid a final dividend of 53 cents per share.

Meanwhile, analysts at Goldman Sachs are positive on the outlook for the Woolworths share price. Goldman has placed a $44.10 price target on the company's shares. This represents a 32% upside on the current share price. The broker thinks Woolworths shares are trading at an attractive level after their recent falls.

However, Alto Capital investment manager Tony Locantro has recently placed a sell rating on Woolworths. He said in comments published on The Bull:

While cost pressures have eased, we're concerned about the impact from broad cost of living increases on its customers moving forward.

Share price snapshot

The Woolworths share price has fallen nearly 15% in the past year, while it has lost more than 12% in 2022 so far.

For perspective, the ASX 200 has shed more than 6% in the past year.

Woolworths has a market capitalisation of nearly $40.5 billion based on the current share price.

Motley Fool contributor Monica O'Shea has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended COLESGROUP DEF SET and Wesfarmers Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A female Woolworths customer leans on her shopping trolley as she rests her chin in her hand thinking about what to buy for dinner while also wondering why the Woolworths share price isn't doing as well as Coles recently
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woolworths shares are down 12% from their peak. Should those who don't own them consider buying now?

Are the supermarkets shares a good buy today?

Read more »

A row of Rivians cars.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Trading near 12-month lows, are Bapcor shares worth a look?

Bapcor shares have been sold off on weak trading results, but does that mean they're now worth running the ruler…

Read more »

a woman stands behind a market stall smiling widely with a wide range of colourful fresh produce on display in front of her.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How much upside does Macquarie predict for Coles shares?

The broker recently toured the supermarket giant's vertically integrated fresh food production site in NSW.

Read more »

A row of Rivians cars.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

3 reasons to buy this racing ASX 200 stock

Brokers are positive about a new rally.

Read more »

Seven people look for bargains to buy at a yard sale.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Macquarie names its top ASX consumer staples and consumer discretionary stock picks

Do you have exposure to these stocks in your portfolio?

Read more »

Man with his head on his head with a red declining arrow and A worried man holds his head and look at his computer as the Megaport share price crashes today
Share Fallers

Why is the Bapcor share price crashing 19% on Tuesday?

Investors are punishing Bapcor shares today. But why?

Read more »

farmer using a laptop and looking at the share price
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What's Bell Potter's updated view on this booming consumer staples stock?

Is this olive oil producer a buy, hold or sell?

Read more »

a woman smiles widely as she leans on her trolley while making her way down a supermarket grocery aisle while holding her mobile telephone.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2030 for Coles shares

Should investors look at Coles for dividend income?

Read more »