This expert tips 25% upside for the Macquarie share price

Macquarie could be a bank share to buy according to Morgans…

The Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) share price is trading lower with the market on Wednesday afternoon.

At the time of writing, the investment bank's shares are down over 1% to $170.90.

This means the Macquarie share price is now down almost 20% since the start of the year.

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.

Image source: Getty Images

Is the Macquarie share price in the buy zone now?

One leading broker that sees plenty of value in the Macquarie share price is Morgans.

According to a recent note, the broker has an add rating and $215.00 price target on the company's shares.

This implies potential upside of almost 26% for investors over the next 12 months. And that's before dividends!

Morgans is expecting a partially franked $7.07 per share dividend in FY 2023. This equates to a 4.1% dividend yield, which stretches the total potential return to a very attractive 30%.

Why is it bullish?

The note reveals that Morgans is bullish on the investment bank due to its exposure to a number of long term structural growth areas and its ongoing market share gains in Australian mortgages.

Its analysts explained:

We continue to like MQG's exposure to long-term structural growth areas such as infrastructure and renewables. The company also stands to benefit from recent market volatility through its trading businesses, while it continues to gain market share in Australian mortgages.

And while the broker acknowledges that it will be hard for Macquarie to cycle FY 2022's impressive performance, it thinks investors should look beyond this and focus on the future.

In our view, it was hard to fault MQG's FY22 result, which benefitted from strong performances in CGM and Macquarie Capital. The only real negative, in our view, is it will be difficult for MQG to cycle such a standout performance in FY23. We anticipate some near-term earnings volatility over FY23 but we like MQG's favourable longer-term growth profile and consistent history of delivering strong returns (~15% average ROE over time).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Macquarie Group Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

Commonwealth Bank vs ANZ: Which is better for passive income?

Which ASX banking giant delivers better passive income: Commonwealth Bank or ANZ? Let’s stack up their dividends, franking and recent…

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for Westpac shares

How much dividend income can investors bank on in the years ahead?

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
Bank Shares

Why I'd buy NAB shares in October

I take a closer look at why I would be comfortable adding this ASX bank share in October.

Read more »

Smiling man paying for his order from his phone on an EFTPOS machine at a restaurant.
Bank Shares

Should I buy CBA shares in October?

I look at the valuation, earnings forecasts, and dividend outlook before deciding what I would do next.

Read more »

Senior woman relaxing in a hammock with an e-book on her tablet.
Bank Shares

NAB vs ANZ: Which big four bank is the better passive income stock?

NAB and ANZ both pay steady dividends — but here’s which bank I’d buy for income today.

Read more »

Person writing notes with a piggy bank, calculator, and an ascending pile of coins on the table.
Bank Shares

Buying CBA shares? Here's the dividend yield you'll get today

CBA's dividend yield is on the rise.

Read more »

Woman holding her glasses and looking at her laptop.
Bank Shares

Commonwealth Bank vs Westpac: Which ASX bank stock is the better buy for resilient passive income?

Here’s how they stack up for value, yield and more.

Read more »

Different Australian dollar notes in the palm of two hands, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2028 for NAB shares

Let’s look at the potential payouts from the bank.

Read more »