How are Zip shares faring on their first day outside the ASX 200?

Higher interest rates are bad news for companies priced with future earnings in mind.

| More on:
a boy with sad eyes pulls the zip over his mouth and nose while doing up a large jacket where the collar stands up at head height.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Zip share price is in the red today
  • Today is the first day the ASX BNPL share is trading outside of the ASX 200 index
  • Investors may also be concerned about a potential outsized interest rate hike from the US Fed this week

The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share price is down 1.83% in early afternoon trade on Monday.

Zip shares closed on Friday trading for 82 cents and are currently trading for 80.5 cents apiece.

With the benchmark indexes broadly flat at the time of writing, the ASX buy now, pay later (BNPL) share is underperforming on its first day of trading outside the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

What are ASX investors considering today?

There look to be two factors throwing up some headwinds for Zip shares today.

First, as mentioned, today is the first day the stock is trading outside of the ASX 200.

That came as part of S&P Dow Jones Indices September quarterly review.

With Zip shares having suffered a horror year, down 82% in 2022 so far, the company's market cap has fallen to $561 million, no longer qualifying it among the top 200 listed companies.

Getting ousted from the ASX 200 could hamper the BNPL stock, in part because many fund managers are restricted to trading shares listed on the blue-chip index. Those fund managers still holding shares now may find themselves having to sell Zip while others will not be able to snap them up.

Investors are also likely eyeing the upcoming interest rate decision by the US Federal Reserve.

The Fed board will announce its decision on Wednesday (early Thursday morning Aussie time).

Following an uptick in August's inflation figures in the world's largest economy – while economists had largely been forecasting a downturn – analysts now predict the Fed will continue to hike rates aggressively to tame fast-rising prices.

Higher rates are bad news for loss-making companies like Zip, which are priced with future earnings in mind. As interest rates climb, so too does the cost of those future earnings. Higher rates will also pressure Zip's customers and could see an increase in the level of bad debts the company is already struggling with.

How have Zip shares performed longer-term?

Although Zip shares are up 83% from their 23 June lows, the stock remains down a painful 88% over the past 12 months. That compares to a 7.8% loss posted by the All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO), its new benchmark index.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended ZIPCOLTD FPO. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on BNPL shares

A young woman smiles as she rides a zip line high above the trees.
BNPL shares

Why did Zip shares rebound 19% this week?

FY26 has been volatile for this ASX BNPL stock.

Read more »

Happy woman in purple clothes looking at asx share price on mobile phone
BNPL shares

Zip share price plunges 30% in a month but fundie tips 'meaningful upside' ahead

After 110% share price growth in FY25, Zip shares have failed to maintain the momentum in FY26.

Read more »

People sit in rollercoaster seats with expressions of fear, terror and exhilaration as it goes into a steep downward descent representing the Novonix share price in FY22
BNPL shares

$10,000 invested in Zip shares in January is now worth…

Zip shares have had a rollercoaster of a ride over the past 12 months.

Read more »

Stock market crash concept of young man screaming at laptop on the sofa.
BNPL shares

Why is the Block share price crashing 14% on Friday?

Investors are punishing Block shares on Friday. But why?

Read more »

a young woman holds her hand to her ear and leans sideways as if to listen to something that's surprising her as her eyes and her mouth are wide open.
Financial Shares

Why are Zip shares down 23% in a month, and what was revealed at the AGM today?

The buy now, pay later operator conducted its annual general meeting on Thursday.

Read more »

Upset woman with her hand on her forehead, holding a credit card.
BNPL shares

Why did Zip shares tumble 12% in October?

After surging more than 300% since April, why did Zip shares tumble in October?

Read more »

A young boy sits on his father's shoulders as they flex their muscles at sunrise on a beach
Broker Notes

Macquarie initiates coverage of Zip shares with outperform rating and predicts 17% upside

Is it time to buy now on these BNPL shares?

Read more »

Buy now, pay later written on a smartphone with a shopping cart symbol at the bottom.
BNPL shares

Up 237% since April, Zip shares lifting today on big US news

Zip shares have more than tripled investors’ money since April.

Read more »