Why investors might be getting excited about Arafura shares

It's been another day in the green for the natural magnet metals miner.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The Arafura share price outperformed along with other ASX miners exposed to the green energy transition on Thursday
  • An upbeat presentation by Arafura also likely drove support for its shares today despite weaker NdPr prices
  • The miner plans to supply 5% of global NdPr production and warned that the world needs 10 of its flagship Nolans Project by 2030 to meet burgeoning demand

The Arafura Resources Limited (ASX: ARU) share price notched up its second day of gains following its upbeat investor presentation.

Investors are drawn to anything exposed to electric vehicles (EVs) and the natural magnet miner is no exception.

Shares in Arafura jumped to a two-month high of 37.5 cents each in afternoon trade before closing at 36 cents a share, 2.86% higher on the day. In contrast, the All Ordinaries (ASX: XAO) closed up 1.62% today.

Giant magnet attracting banknotes to symbolise a capital raising.

Image source: Getty Images

Strong attraction to the Arafura share price

The miner is aiming to be a major global player in the neodymium and praseodymium (NdPr) market. NdPr is used in making ultra-strong permanent magnets – the kind needed in electric motors.

What may be attracting investors to the Arafura share price is the company's goal to supply 5% of global demand for NdPr oxide from its Nolans Project in the Northern Territory. The project is the only NdPr- focused facility in Australia with plans to mine and process ore to oxide at the one site.

The project is close to existing infrastructure and the miner claims the key approvals are in place.

Investors drawn to green minerals

NdPr isn't only required in EVs. The magnets are also key to robotics, wind turbines, and mobile phones – the stuff that excites investors.

A lot of the cool and sustainable technologies also require batteries. This is why ASX lithium shares were also in hot demand today.

The Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) and Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) share prices both hit their record highs today. Pilbara Minerals hit $4.24 a share in intraday trading. It closed the session at $4.23 a share, a gain of just over 7% for the day.

Allkem also notched its new record price of $15.10 a share. It closed at $15.07, up 7.03%. Meantime, the IGO Ltd (ASX: IGO) share price closed at its intraday high of $13.54, 5.45% higher.

Magnet prices falling

With all this positive sentiment boosting the Arafura share price, it's easy to forget that the NdPr price has been declining. Since hitting a monthly average of US$164 per kg in March, it has fallen to under US$130 a kg.

Slowing economic growth and China going in and out of COVID lockdowns are dragging on prices. But the bulls believe this weakness may not last when the world is moving to decarbonise.

Longer-term outlook is more promising

Arafura believes the security of supply will be challenged given that China is a big supplier of NdPr. Higher prices will be needed to incentivise new production from friendlier nations.

From that perspective, the ASX miner claims that 10 Nolans Projects are needed by 2030 to fill forecast demand.

Around a third of Arafura's output is reserved for Hyundai Motor Corporation and GE Renewable Energy under a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).

Arafura is in discussions with more than 10 other parties for the rest of the planned output from Nolans.

Arafura share price snapshot

The Arafura share price has performed strongly over the past year with a 132% gain. This compares with a 9.25% fall in the All Ordinaries and a 3.3% loss in the S&P/ASX 300 Metal & Mining Index (ASX: XMM).

The outperformance of Arafura also puts it ahead of some ASX lithium shares. This includes Pilbara Minerals with its 94% jump, Allkem with a 59% gain, and IGO with its 43% increase during the period.

Even leading rare earths producer Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX: LYC) can't keep up with its 21% advance in the last 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has positions in Allkem Limited, Independence Group NL, and Lynas Corporation Limited. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Three satisfied miners with their arms crossed looking at the camera proudly
Resources Shares

5 ASX mining shares to buy: experts

The global oil shock is a headwind for mining but long-term growth drivers remain in place.

Read more »

Two miners dressed in hard hats and high vis gear standing at an outdoor mining site discussing a mineral find with one holding a rock and the other looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Liontown shares climb to 2.5-year high on record cash flow

Here's what analysts think of the lithium miner's shares right now.

Read more »

Woman with a concerned look on her face holding a credit card and smartphone.
Resources Shares

Why Lotus Resources shares just fell 22% and how I'm thinking about it

Production issues and uncertainty have shaken confidence, though there are still signs the broader restart story is moving in the…

Read more »

Two mining workers in orange high vis vests walk and talk at a mining site.
Resources Shares

Morgans tips 1 ASX mining share to rip — and 1 to avoid — in 2026

Morgans has revised its ratings on an ASX 200 lithium share and an ASX 200 gold stock.

Read more »

A woman is very excited about something she's just seen on her computer, clenching her fists and smiling broadly.
Resources Shares

Mineral Resources shares jump 7% on guidance upgrade

Mineral Resources lifts guidance again, sending its share price higher.

Read more »

Pile of copper pipes.
Resources Shares

This major ASX copper company just reported record earnings but warned on diesel prices

A sixth quarter of earnings growth has just been notched up.

Read more »

A man wearing a hard hat and high visibility vest looks out over a vast plain.
Resources Shares

This ASX 200 mining stock is sinking 8% after a big project update. Here's why

A major Hermosa update has South32 shares falling today.

Read more »

A man in a hard hat and high visibility vest holds his thumb up in a gesture of confidence with heavy moving equipment in the background as on a mine site as the Chalice Mining share price rises today.
Resources Shares

Liontown posts record net cash flow and hits underground mining targets

Liontown posts its strongest financial quarter since production began, achieving $33 million net cash flow and hitting key operational milestones.

Read more »