This $45 billion ASX 200 share just hit a new multi-year high. Can it keep going?

Transurban shares have hit a new watermark.

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Key points

  • Transurban shares have rallied into the second half of 2022 and now rest at multi-year highs 
  • Sentiment is split on the company however, as analyst opinion and market trends each have the share tilted to neutral 
  • In the last 12 months, the Transurban share price has clipped a 4% gain 

The Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price was rangebound yesterday and finished the day at $14.72 apiece. This extends the month's gains to more than 1.3% and a 52-week high.

Zooming out, the ASX transport share now trades at its highest level in more than 2 years. It nudged this level briefly in 2021, before quickly receding below the neckline.

As such, Transurban has nudged to another multi-year high and the question now becomes if it can keep up the pace.

Returns for the share versus the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) for the past 5 years are plotted on the chart below.

TradingView Chart

Can Transurban push higher?

Analysts at Bell Potter reckon it can and recently affirmed their buy rating in a recent note to clients. In the release, Bell Potter reckons there are large opportunities on the horizon for the toll road giant.

The company's "current pipeline of growth projects is $3.9 billion," the broker said.

"[F]urther huge development opportunities are expected over the next few decades supported by population and economic growth" are also expected to be key drivers of the share price.

Meanwhile, more than 42% of brokers reckon Transurban is a buy right now, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

However, 50% also say it's a hold with the remainder urging clients to sell.

From this list, the consensus price target is $14.21, suggesting that the Transurban share price might have difficulty climbing higher if the group is correct.

One fund manager is positioned in TCL to capture a return from the current trends in inflation.

As TMF reported in July, "Atlas Funds Management chief investment officer Hugh Dive has named Transurban as one of three companies that could do quite well in a high interest rate environment."

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), the consumer price index – Australia's primary measure of inflation – increased 6.1% over the 12 months to 30 June.

Hence, if the relationship between the Transurban share price and upturns in inflation turns out to be true, that's certainly something to think about.

In the last 12 months, the Transurban share price has clipped a 4% gain as well as 6% this year to date.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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