This $45 billion ASX 200 share just hit a new multi-year high. Can it keep going?

Transurban shares have hit a new watermark.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Transurban shares have rallied into the second half of 2022 and now rest at multi-year highs 
  • Sentiment is split on the company however, as analyst opinion and market trends each have the share tilted to neutral 
  • In the last 12 months, the Transurban share price has clipped a 4% gain 

The Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) share price was rangebound yesterday and finished the day at $14.72 apiece. This extends the month's gains to more than 1.3% and a 52-week high.

Zooming out, the ASX transport share now trades at its highest level in more than 2 years. It nudged this level briefly in 2021, before quickly receding below the neckline.

As such, Transurban has nudged to another multi-year high and the question now becomes if it can keep up the pace.

Returns for the share versus the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) for the past 5 years are plotted on the chart below.

TradingView Chart
Piggy bank at the end of a winding road.

Image source: Getty Images

Can Transurban push higher?

Analysts at Bell Potter reckon it can and recently affirmed their buy rating in a recent note to clients. In the release, Bell Potter reckons there are large opportunities on the horizon for the toll road giant.

The company's "current pipeline of growth projects is $3.9 billion," the broker said.

"[F]urther huge development opportunities are expected over the next few decades supported by population and economic growth" are also expected to be key drivers of the share price.

Meanwhile, more than 42% of brokers reckon Transurban is a buy right now, according to Refinitiv Eikon data.

However, 50% also say it's a hold with the remainder urging clients to sell.

From this list, the consensus price target is $14.21, suggesting that the Transurban share price might have difficulty climbing higher if the group is correct.

One fund manager is positioned in TCL to capture a return from the current trends in inflation.

As TMF reported in July, "Atlas Funds Management chief investment officer Hugh Dive has named Transurban as one of three companies that could do quite well in a high interest rate environment."

According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), the consumer price index – Australia's primary measure of inflation – increased 6.1% over the 12 months to 30 June.

Hence, if the relationship between the Transurban share price and upturns in inflation turns out to be true, that's certainly something to think about.

In the last 12 months, the Transurban share price has clipped a 4% gain as well as 6% this year to date.

Motley Fool contributor Zach Bristow has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Industrials Shares

Two happy construction workers discussing share price performance with each other.
Earnings Results

James Hardie lifts outlook as Q1 sales jump 64%

James Hardie reported adjusted EBITDA of US$422 million, which is a jump of 79% year over year.

Read more »

Couple looking at their phone surprised, symbolising a bargain buy.
Industrials Shares

Maas upgrades FY26 earnings guidance after $855 million contract win

Maas upgrades FY26 guidance following an $855m contract win and additional investment in Firmus.

Read more »

Two IT professionals walk along a wall of mainframes in a data centre discussing various things
Industrials Shares

A two-pronged AI deal has this ASX 300 company surging higher

A major data centre build is good news for this company.

Read more »

A man sitting at his desktop computer leans forward onto his elbows and yawns while he rubs his eyes as though he is very tired.
Share Fallers

Why did DroneShield shares crash 30% in July to new one-year lows?

DroneShield shares got smashed in July. But why.

Read more »

A cool young man walking in a laneway holding a takeaway coffee in one hand and his phone in the other reacts with surprise as he reads the latest news on his mobile phone
Industrials Shares

SKS Technologies smashes profit guidance in earnings update

SKS Technologies delivered higher-than-expected profit and revenue in its new earnings update, outpacing its earlier market guidance.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles with a laptop open.
Industrials Shares

Maas Group Holdings: ACCC approves construction materials sale to Heidelberg

Maas Group Holdings gets ACCC green light for construction materials sale, subject to divestments.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Industrials Shares

Lycopodium wins $22 million Pilgangoora expansion contract

Lycopodium announces a $22 million contract for the Pilgangoora plant expansion in Western Australia.

Read more »

Stock market crash concept of young man screaming at laptop on the sofa.
Industrials Shares

DroneShield shares crash 11% today: Should I buy before the end of July?

Is today's tumble a buying opportunity or has the window passed?

Read more »