$250m to $9 billion: The phone call that revealed what makes multi-bagger ASX shares

A fund manager remembers how a telephone conversation as a young analyst in the 1990s forever shaped his investment strategy.

| More on:
A cute little kid in a suit pulls a shocked face as he talks on his smartphone.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Airlie Funds Management portfolio manager Matt Williams remembers early in his career, a quarter of a century ago, being ordered to analyse a particular ASX-listed company.

"My bosses allocated me a 'small-cap' company to cut my teeth on as an analyst. Read: limit any potential damage to portfolios," he wrote on the Airlie blog.

"The trading liquidity of the company was low, and it did not get a lot of airtime among the bigger, sexier companies."

He diligently read all the annual reports and studied the business to get "a sense for the underlying quality".

That "pretty boring" company, with a market capitalisation of $250 million at the time, was plumbing and bathroom supplier Reece Ltd (ASX: REH).

"[It] was majority-owned by the Wilson family — a family that had no interest in spruiking the stock to pump up the share price," he said.

"This put them at odds with 90% of other companies on the bourse, and pretty much all my experience of management teams thus far."

Reece now has a market cap of more than $9.2 billion.

How did it multiply its valuation 37 times over without even marketing itself to investors?

The phone call with a CEO that changed a fundie forever

After watching an impressive record of profits over a couple of years, a young Williams convinced his superiors to build up a holding in Reece.

But then his heart sank. 

One of Reece's financial updates still showed strong growth in sales revenue — but net profit was significantly down.

The share price then absolutely tanked.

"I frantically looked at this profit result from Reece with a growing sense of sickness in my stomach – costs were way higher than the previous period, in my mind destroying a beautiful sales result," said Williams.

"The 'market' in its short-term wisdom declared this a poor result and reacted accordingly."

The Wilson family, who held 70% of the shares, were notoriously secretive. They rarely put out statements to the market and they certainly didn't care about what financial analysts thought about them.

But a fired-up Williams was determined to put some questions to chief executive Alan Wilson.

After much persistence he managed to grab Wilson on the telephone.

"Wilson heard me out and further explained the strategy that was already laid out briefly in the result commentary," he recalled.

"Where I saw a cost blow-out, he saw great opportunities for investment to grow – simply, rolling out the Reece store network in more locations around Australia, taking market share, and becoming ubiquitous within plumbing and bathroom."

That phone conversation would leave a lasting impression on a young Williams.

"I hung up the call having learnt a valuable lesson," he said.

"In the cut and thrust of everyday markets, I too had absorbed the focus on the short term. The penny dropped that Wilson was investing now for future growth, and that the opportunity could be massive."

The power of owner-managed companies

At the time of that fateful phone call 23 years ago, Reece was half the size of the dominant force in the plumbing market, Tradelink.

Since then the Wilson family's strategy has "played out perfectly".

"Sales in Australia/New Zealand up 8x and profits up 22x," said Williams.

"Amazing results and all without raising any equity (until its expansion into the US in 2018) or meaningful debt. In fact, the company acquired property sites for a lot of its best-located stores along the way."

With this growth, Reece's market capitalisation multiplied a stunning 37 times.

Meanwhile, Tradelink has been completely beaten into submission.

"Twenty-three lost years where sales went nowhere, and profits backwards – overseen by numerous management teams and a new corporate owner, Fletcher Building."

Williams believes Reece is the perfect example of how owner-managed businesses can execute a long-term vision.

Owners who have control of the steering wheel can show patience that perhaps independent executives can't manage in a publicly-listed environment. They can cop some short-term heat to make a long-term dream come true.

Other such examples currently held in the Airlie fund are ARB Corporation Limited (ASX: ARB), Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV), PWR Holdings Ltd (ASX: PWH) and Nick Scali Limited (ASX: NCK).

Williams describes his favouritism towards such companies as his lifelong "love affair".

"The owner-managed model is immensely powerful in a small company, where the success factors of owner-managers can be leveraged into truly remarkable results."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended PWR Holdings Limited. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended ARB Corporation Limited, PWR Holdings Limited, and Premier Investments Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Investing Strategies

Happy couple enjoying ice cream in retirement.
Dividend Investing

3 ASX ETFs to buy for passive income in December

These funds could be top picks for income investors.

Read more »

Person handing out $50 notes, symbolising ex-dividend date.
Resources Shares

Own Rio Tinto shares? Here are the dividend dates for 2026

The ASX 200 iron ore major has released its corporate calendar for the new year.

Read more »

Different Australian dollar notes in the palm of two hands, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Are APA shares a good buy for passive income?

Passive income is every investor's dream.

Read more »

Happy young woman saving money in a piggy bank.
Dividend Investing

Brokers say buy these ASX stocks for 6% dividend yields in 2026

Analysts expect these buy-rated stocks to deliver big capital returns next year.

Read more »

Santa at the beach gives a big thumbs up, indicating positive sentiment for the year ahead for ASX share prices
Dividend Investing

3 ASX dividend stocks to brighten your Christmas stocking

Three income-friendly ideas that could add stability, yield, and long-term value to any dividend-focused portfolio.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

These top ASX dividend shares offer 5% to 10% yields

Analysts are expecting very generous dividends from these buy-rated shares.

Read more »

A hand holds up a rotten apple in an orchard.
Dividend Investing

What's going on with the Woolworths dividend?

Woolworths dividend is at a multi-year low.

Read more »

A wad of $100 bills of Australian currency lies stashed in a bird's nest.
Broker Notes

Up 40% in a year, why Macquarie expects this ASX 200 dividend stock to keep outperforming in 2026

Macquarie forecasts more outperformance from this fast-rising ASX 200 dividend stock.

Read more »