Down 24% in FY22, can the JB Hi-Fi share price bounce back this year?

What's next for this ASX retail share in FY23? We take a look

| More on:
Woman checking out new laptops.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • JB Hi-Fi shares fell from grace over FY22
  • This ASX 200 retailer fell more than 20% over the financial year just gone
  • Brokers are divided about how the outlook for the JB Hi-Fi share price

It was not that long ago the JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) share price could seemingly do no wrong. This was a company that rose by 120% between March 2019 and March 2022, after all.

Not only that, but JB also managed to dramatically ramp up its dividends too. This ASX 200 retailer paid out $1.32 in dividends per share in 2018. But by 2021, this had risen to $2.87 in dividends per share.

And yet, the past financial year has been one of the toughest in recent memory for this company. FY22 saw JB fall from the $50.58 share price it was commanding at the start of the last financial year to the $38.46 it was left with when FY22 wrapped up earlier this month. That's a painful drop of almost 24%.

As my Fool colleague Tristan went through earlier this month, JB was hurt by falling profits and sales in its report covering the six months to 31 December 2021.

The company also did not exactly inspire investors when it admitted there was "ongoing disruption to stock availability and operations arising from COVID-19 and other local and global uncertainties" during its third-quarter update for FY22.

So with such a painful loss over the financial year just gone, can the JB Hi-Fi share price recover over the new financial year we have just begun?

What's next for the JB Hi-Fi share price in FY23?

Well, there is one ASX broker who reckons the worst might be behind the JB Hi-Fi share price. As we covered just yesterday, broker Citi has just upgraded JB shares to a buy rating.

That came with a 12-month share price target of $47. That would represent a potential upside of around 9.5% from the $42.92 JB is commanding today (at the time of writing).

Citi anticipates that household spending will remain strong, despite the recent inflation we have seen in the economy, helping to prop up JB's sales. As such, it sees the current JB share price as favourable.

But other ASX brokers have not been as kind. We've also recently covered how Ord Minnet has cut its rating from buy to hold, with a share price target of $42.

Ord Minnet doesn't have the optimism that Citi does when it comes to inflation and rising interest rates, which it sees as a potential spanner in JB Hi-Fi's works.

So time will only tell which ASX broker is on the money when it comes to JB shares.

In the meantime, the current JB Hi-Fi share price gives this ASX 200 retailer a market capitalisation of $4.69 billion, with a dividend yield of 6.3%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

ecommerce asx shares represented by santa doing online shopping on laptop
Healthcare Shares

Looking for ideas before Christmas? These 2 ASX shares stand out to me

Two ASX shares at opposite ends of the market are catching my attention as the year draws to a close.

Read more »

A man points at a paper as he holds an alarm clock, indicating the ex-dividend date is approaching.
Retail Shares

Where will Wesfarmers shares be in 3 years?

This business continues to be an impressive long-term performer.

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Retail Shares

Bell Potter names three retail stock picks for your Christmas hamper

These three retail stocks will help set you up for a strong start to 2026, the broker says.

Read more »

A happy young couple celebrate a win by jumping high above their new sofa.
Share Market News

What could keep Harvey Norman shares climbing in 2026?

The property assets and share buyback program could carry the rally into 2026.

Read more »

A woman smiles over the top of multiple shopping bags she is holding in both hands up near her face.
Broker Notes

Broker tips 68% upside for Myer shares following brutal sell-off

Could a turnaround be on the cards?

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Dividend Investing

Here's how another $5,000 invested in this high-yield ASX 200 star could boost my dividend income over time!

This high-yield ASX 200 retailer has slipped under $1, but its dividend profile remains one of the strongest in the…

Read more »

Woman looking at prices for televisions in an electronics store.
Retail Shares

Up 50% in 2025, should you buy Harvey Norman shares before Christmas?

Two leading investment experts deliver their verdicts on Harvey Norman’s surging shares.

Read more »

Two fashionable asx investors dancing among confetti.
Retail Shares

Why is the Myer share price rocketing 10% on Thursday?

ASX investors are piling into Myer shares today. But why?

Read more »