Here's a look at what might happen to Woolworths shares in FY2023

Are Woolworths shares a buy or a sell today?

| More on:
Woman thinking in a supermarket.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Woolworths shares recorded a slight loss for FY2022
  • Even so, the grocer vastly outperformed the ASX 200 index, especially if we account for dividends
  • So what does FY2023 hold in store for Woolies shares?

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price was a standout performer on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) last financial year. Over FY2022, Woolworths shares recorded a loss of 0.6%, closing out the financial year at $35.60 a share.

A loss of 0.6% might not look like a winning proposition for many investors. But considering the broader ASX 200 fell by a far nastier 10.19% between 1 July 2021 and 30 June 2022, it was considerably better to own Woolies shares than the index.

Further, Woolworths shares paid out a total of 94 cents per share in fully franked dividends. That's enough to pull the company into positive return territory for FY2022.

But now FY2022 is well behind us and we've already embarked on the 2023 financial year, what might the next 12 months or so hold in store for the Woolworths share price?

Is it buy or sell for the Woolworths share price in FY2023?

Well, one broker is extremely bullish on Woolies shares going forward, even after the positive year the company enjoyed over FY2022.

As my Fool colleague James covered last week, ASX broker Goldman Sachs is currently rating Woolworths shares as a "buy". It also has a 12-month share price target of $41.70 on the supermarket operator's shares.

If that came to pass, it would represent a potential upside of just over 12.8% from the $36.96 share price the company is commanding today (at the time of writing).

So why is Goldman so optimistic on Woolworths shares over this current financial year? The broker is estimating that Woolies will be able to continue to grow both revenues and earnings going forward. Here's some of what it had to say on its projections:

We are encouraged by the resilience and superior operations of WOW and reiterate our unchanged FY22-24e Sales and EPS CAGR of 6.9% and 14.9% respectively. We expect this to be driven by high price growth, well protected GPM and slight EBIT margin expansion as COVID costs roll-off and cost efficiencies continue.

So a very positive outlook on Woolworths share price from Goldman Sachs. Only time will tell if this outlook proves to be accurate though. Even so, it's no doubt music to Woolworths shareholders' ears today.

At the current Woolworths share price, this ASX 200 blue chip share has a market capitalisation of $44.87 billion, with a fully franked dividend yield of 2.54%.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A delivery man carries a basket of food into an apartment
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guzman Y Gomez shares push higher on Uber deal

The taco seller is strengthening its delivery business with an exclusive partnership.

Read more »

Happy couple doing grocery shopping together.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

At $31, are Woolworths shares still a slam-dunk buy?

After a difficult year, earnings are stabilising and confidence is slowly returning.

Read more »

A woman in a red dress holding up a red graph.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

As reporting season looms, where will the market head next and what should you be buying?

Check out what the experts are saying.

Read more »

Casino players throwing chips in the air.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is it still game on for Light & Wonder shares?

The rally may have stalled, but brokers still see some upside for the ASX gaming stock.

Read more »

Woman chooses vegetables for dinner, smiling and looking at camera.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why Goldman Sachs expects Woolworths shares to leap 21%, plus dividends!

Goldman Sachs has a buy rating on Woolworths' resurgent shares. Let’s see why.

Read more »

A baby's eyes open wide in surprise as it sucks on a milk bottle.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Chinese birthrate punches a hole in the A2 Milk share price

This key market is looking challenging.

Read more »

a man frustrated looking at the engine of his car
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

ARB shares are crashing 15% today. What's spooking investors?

ARB shares slide 15% after a profit downgrade rattles investors.

Read more »

Woman and 2 men conducting a wine tasting.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Can this ASX 200 stock recover after losing 51%?

Broker enthusiasm is going flat for the prestigious wine share.

Read more »