How might 'green premiums' impact the value of ASX mining shares?

The market might be willing to pay a premium for shares in carbon-conscious miners.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • One of the largest mining fund managers believes the market will eventually pay a premium for commodities with net-zero emissions.
  • This is good news for several ASX mining shares that are making big investments to reduce their carbon footprint
  • Some of these miners include Rio Tinto, South32, and Bellvue Gold

The market might be willing to pay a premium for ASX mining shares that leave no carbon footprint in their operations.

While experts are divided on this topic, the world's most influential mining investor is supporting the argument, as reported in the Australian Financial Review.

The fund manager from BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE: BLK), Evy Hambro, believes commodities will be increasingly priced according to how they are produced.

A wide-smiling businessman in suit and tie rips open his shirt to reveal a green t-shirt underneath.

Image source: Getty Images

Carbon conscious ASX mining shares could trade at a premium over time

He manages more than $20 billion in his World Mining, World Gold, and Circular Economy Funds. The "green premiums" will allow carbon-conscious ASX mining shares to increase value without having to increase production.

Hambro was quoted in the AFR saying:

There is a decision that companies are going to have to take between investing for growth in volumes and investing for decarbonisation, and our view is that over time we will see commodities increasingly being priced on how they are produced rather than necessarily the commodity itself.

If you can produce a commodity with lower emissions and it meets all the related ESG requirements you might end up with premium pricing for that commodity, or those commodities become the market price and ones that have high carbon emissions trade at discounts.

ASX mining shares embracing net-zero targets

His comments follow statements from several ASX miners about this issue. The previous chief executive of Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) asked investors if they are willing to suffer lower returns to allow the iron ore giant to increase investment in climate action.

Rio Tinto is committing to US$7.5 billion in carbon reduction projects over eight years. Most of this money won't produce a financial return if measured against traditional valuation yardsticks. But some projects could pay for themselves if you factored in the voluntary US$75 a tonne carbon price.

Green premiums vs. brown discounts

Meanwhile, the chief executive of South32 Ltd (ASX: S32), Graham Kerr, said he sees early signs that commodities are being priced against their environmental impact, according to the AFR.

This could be both good and bad for the South32 share price. It's good as the diversified miner is aiming to nearly double its "green aluminium" production in Brazil and Mozambique. This refers to aluminium made with renewable power.

Kerr said:

We have seen small [price premium] increments, you are seeing more of a buyer preference. We do believe over time that green premium does come into play.

In aluminium, you are probably looking in the longer term, there will be a green premium somewhere between $US300 and $US350 per tonne.

However, he also noted that buyers are demanding a discount for South32's nickel from Cerro Matoso. The nickel from the mine is less suitable for battery production.

Perhaps the most bullish ASX miner when it comes to "green premiums" is Bellevue Gold Ltd (ASX: BGL). The small-cap miner told investors its gold could fetch higher prices as it planned to make its Western Australia mine net-zero by January 2026.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has positions in Rio Tinto Ltd. and South32 Ltd. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A hand points to a salt crust at a salt mining operation in Australia.
Resources Shares

BHP shares sink as investors react to $2.8 billion cost blowout

BHP’s potash project has hit another cost hurdle.

Read more »

Lithium mine drilling machines.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, sell: Liontown, Wildcat Resources, PLS Group shares

Let's check out some new ratings on 3 ASX lithium shares this week.

Read more »

Two cheerful miners shake hands.
Resources Shares

2 ASX mining stocks to sell after strong runs: expert

Far East Capital says investors should take their profits and run on these 2 ASX mining stocks.

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto share price rallies 75% in 12 months: Is the mining stock still a buy or have the shares now peaked?

Find out what brokers tip for the Rio Tinto share price over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

Up 38% in a year, ASX All Ords mining stock reports rare earths progress

The ASX mining stock is targeting rare earths on the United States critical minerals list.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

These 2 ASX resources companies could deliver better than 60% returns, Macquarie says

Both of these companies are in the critical minerals space.

Read more »

Suncorp share price Businessman cheering and smiling on smartphone
Resources Shares

I bought 682 BHP shares in 2020. Here's how they've performed

The surprising payoff from buying BHP during uncertainty.

Read more »

Person with a handful of Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Resources Shares

Is the Fortescue share price a buy for its 8% dividend yield?

Fortescue could be a contender for significant dividend income from a blue-chip.

Read more »