AGL share price tumbles on earnings guidance downgrade

AGL has downgraded its earnings guidance…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • The AGL share price is tumbling on Monday
  • Investors have been selling the energy company's shares after it downgraded its earnings guidance
  • This was driven by a generator fault in April which will not be fixed until August

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price has come under pressure on Monday.

In morning trade, the energy company's shares are down 3.5% to $8.39.

a woman holds her hands to her temples as she sits in front of a computer screen with a concerned look on her face.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the AGL share price falling?

The catalyst for the weakness in the AGL share price on Monday has been the release of a profit warning.

According to the release, AGL has downgraded its earnings guidance for FY 2022 due to a generator fault at Unit 2 of the Loy Yang A Power Station in Victoria in April.

AGL now expects its underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) to be between $1,230 million and $1,300 million. This is down from its previous guidance range of between $1,275 million and $1,400 million.

It will be a similar story on the bottom line, with underlying profit after tax for FY 2022 now expected to be between $220 million and $270 million. This is down from AGL's previous guidance range of between $260 million to $340 million.

What about FY 2023?

The release explains that AGL currently expects the unit to return to service by 1 August. Engineering assessments are continuing and AGL will inform the market of any material changes to this timeframe.

In light of this, the financial impact from the event will be split between FY 2022 and FY 2023. This will be approximately $60 million pre-tax ($41 million after tax) in FY 2022 and approximately $13 million pre-tax ($9 million after tax) in FY 2023.

The company also revealed that it is focused on affordability and reliability for its customers and is reviewing whether any upcoming planned outages in the rest of the generation portfolio can be shifted to help mitigate AGL's shorter energy position in the market.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Energy Shares

An oil refinery worker stands in front of an oil rig with his arms crossed and a smile on his face.
Energy Shares

How Woodside shares are building a 'unique position' to supply global LNG markets

Woodside shares are growing their exposure to global LNG markets.

Read more »

Oil industry worker in an oil field.
Energy Shares

These 2 ASX energy shares have 18-31% upside according to Bell Potter

These energy stocks are top buys.

Read more »

Engineer in the oilfield wearing red helmet and work clothes, with pumpjack and wellhead in the background.
Energy Shares

Buying Santos shares? Here's why the company is celebrating this production milestone

Santos shares are turning heads on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Piles of increasing coins alongside an hourglass.
Energy Shares

$1,000 buys 91 shares in an impressively reliable ASX dividend stock

This business has an incredible history of consistent payout growth.

Read more »

An oil worker assesses productivity at an oil rig.
Energy Shares

Santos versus Woodside shares: Which ASX energy stock outperformed in August?

Santos and Woodside both reported half-year results in August. But which ASX energy stock outperformed?

Read more »

Oil industry worker climbing up metal construction and smiling.
Energy Shares

Santos shares rebound 8% in a month: Buy, sell or hold?

The ASX energy shares are up around 35% for the year-to-date.

Read more »

An oil worker in front of a pumpjack using a tablet.
Energy Shares

Shaw and Partners says this ASX software company could rise 84%

The high oil price should be a boon for this company.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Energy Shares

Tamboran Resources achieves first gas sales and robust cash position

Tamboran Resources achieves first gas sales and a strong cash position, marking major progress in Beetaloo Basin development.

Read more »