2 ASX shares that were dogs last month but good to buy now: expert

The team at Celeste Funds Management is keeping the faith in this pair of stocks despite their horrible underperformance in March.

| More on:
two dogs, a golden one and a black one, together carry a stick in their mouths as the run side by side with contented, happy looks on their faces.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

This might feel counter-intuitive, but taking a look at ASX shares that have not performed well in recent times can sometimes be fruitful.

Those shares are obviously now cheaper, and the business may still be solid with excellent prospects. 

After all, the stock price might have tanked for external reasons that have nothing to do with the internal operations.

In a recent memo to clients, the team at Celeste Funds Management highlighted two such examples that they're still keeping the faith in:

Astounding record of acquisitions

PSC Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: PSI) shares lost 8.3% during March as it raised $80 million to fund future acquisitions.

The dilution may have contributed to the stock price fall, but the Celeste team feels like the extra cash will eventually become a positive.

"This raising brings net leverage below 2.0x (compared to a stated threshold of 2.0 to 2.5x) and will be focused on Australian and UK commercial broking opportunities," the memo read.

"Since January 2021, PSC has completed 12 acquisitions contributing $16 million in EBITDA at an average multiple of 7.5x."

This astounding history gives analysts at Celeste much confidence.

"Given this track record, their solid pipeline of opportunities and a supportive operating environment, we are confident PSC will deploy the capital in an earnings accretive manner."

PSC Insurance shares are down 4.7% for the year so far, while handing out a 2.44% dividend yield.

Other analysts aren't completely convinced yet, with 3 of the 5 surveyed on CMC Markets rating PSC shares as a hold. The remaining two recommend as a buy.

Is it better to understock or overstock? 

There is no sugar-coating this. City Chic Collective Ltd (ASX: CCX) shares have lost half their value in 2022.

Celeste analysts watched in horror over March as the fashion retail stock lost another 13% that month.

"Despite delivering strong top line growth, the market recoiled in response to elevated inventory levels in response to global supply chain disruptions, and sentiment remains weak," the memo read.

"However, prudent inventory stocking will enable CCX to participate in key sales periods like summer in the Northern Hemisphere, with CCX flagging positive early indications."

The alternative to overstocking is understocking and underselling. But this has played havoc with their US rival Torrid Holdings Inc (NYSE: CURV)'s bottom line.

"Ultimately City Chic continues to deliver a quality product with high demand in a growing target market – evidenced by strong growth in online sales, particularly in its key growth market of USA," stated Celeste analysts.

"We believe City Chic is ripe with opportunity despite short-term supply chain issues."

The broader fund management community agrees, with 8 of 11 analysts surveyed on CMC Markets rating City Chic shares as a "strong buy".

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended PSC Insurance Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Broker Notes

Two people comparing and analysing material.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Netwealth, Santos, and South32 shares

Morgans has given its verdict on these shares following updates.

Read more »

Business man at desk looking out window with his arms behind his head at a view of the city and stock trends overlay.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

Three smiling corporate people examine a model of a new building complex.
Broker Notes

Broker says this ASX All Ords stock could rise 15%

Bell Potter thinks investors should be buying this growing company's shares.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Broker Notes

Why Lynas shares could crash 33%

Bell Potter believes this rare earths stock could lose a third of its value.

Read more »

Three girls compete in a race, running fast around an athletic track.
Broker Notes

Two ASX 200 stocks to buy after crashing 6-9% yesterday

Bell Potter is tipping an 18-40% resurgence for these stocks.

Read more »

A woman looks quizzical as she looks at a graph of the share market.
Broker Notes

Looking for double-digit returns? Check out RBC Capital Markets' picks ahead of reporting season

These shares could deliver strong upside.

Read more »

Man controlling a drone in the sky.
Broker Notes

ASX defence stocks to target according to Bell Potter

The bull run might not be finished yet for these two companies.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

What is Morgans saying about ARB and BHP shares?

Is now the time to buy these popular shares? Let's find out.

Read more »