Are Novonix (ASX:NVX) shares a bargain after tumbling 18% since early December?

The Brisbane battery tech company has seen its stock price slashed over the past month. So is it time to buy the dip?

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Shares in battery technology provider Novonix Ltd (ASX: NVX) have sunk almost 18% since 2 December.

But the stock was still, by far, the best performing ASX tech share in 2021.

The Novonix share price rocketed 660%, riding the themes of green energy and the electrification of the motor car to the sunset.

There was daylight second, as the next best, Life360 Inc (ASX: 360), managed "just" a 157% return.

So does this mean now is a golden opportunity to buy Novonix shares?

Not much revenue, certainly no profit yet

The first thing to note is that Novonix is still at a very early stage of business development.

It's certainly far from making a profit and doesn't even generate that much revenue for a company with a market capitalisation of more than $5 billion. 

In the 2021 financial year, Novonix reported $5.2 million of revenue. That's almost a 1000-times valuation-to-sales ratio.

This is why it's a polarising stock among analysts.

And changes to the Novonix share price are, for now, very dependent on emotion and momentum.

"A profit isn't expected to be achieved for a few years so it will be incredibly announcement driven," read a memo from Marcus Today last month.

"Deals with EV [electric vehicle] and tech companies to shore up supply chains likely to drive performance but that will come in dribs and drabs."

Not sure if Novonix is a bargain yet

The current dip is largely the consequence of an eye-watering 32.4% fall on 3 December.

For the team at Marcus Today, the lack of information behind this descent is worrying.

"An unexplained 34% fall [in early December] should be a bit of a red flag," the memo read.

"The move has taken some of the froth off the top, which is putting it back in the focus of 'bargain hunters'."

Considering these uncertainties, the Marcus Today analysts don't think investors should be piling in at current price levels.

"The near-term picture doesn't offer that much of a compelling reason to get involved," the memo stated.

"Demand for its products is expected to gain momentum but until there are more cash flows, it is hard to value."

Novonix shares closed Thursday at $9.94, down 6.9% on the day.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo owns Life360, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns and has recommended Life360, Inc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

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