Is the BHP (ASX:BHP) share price great value today?

This mining giant has been tipped as a share to buy…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for exposure to the resources sector, then BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares could be the way to do it.

This is because the team at Morgans see plenty of upside for the BHP share price and big dividends in the near future.

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.

Image source: Getty Images

What did Morgans say about the BHP share price?

According to a note from this week, the broker has retained its add rating but trimmed its price target on the mining giant's shares slightly to $45.70.

Based on the current BHP share price of $38.62, this implies potential upside of over 18% for investors.

It gets even better, with Morgans forecasting a fully franked dividend of $3.40 per share in FY 2022. This represents a yield of 8.8%, bringing the total return on offer here to approximately 27%.

Why is Morgans bullish?

Morgans notes that BHP has signed a share sale agreement with Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL), with the proposal to merge their two petroleum businesses now binding.

This is just one of a number of big moves BHP has made in recent years, which Morgans believes supports the view that Mike Henry was appointed for his vision, not just his operational chops. It notes that BHP has moved decisively to exit coal (ex-BMA) and oil and gas, while pushing ahead with the construction of Jansen (potash).

And while the broker highlights that these are strategic exits from some difficult commodities, the divestments have blunted BHP's growth profile and reduced diversification. As a result, Morgans believes BHP will soon add to its operations through acquisitions.

It commented: "We do not think this is the last move, and expect BHP to continue to move its portfolio to add further base metal growth options. As a base case we expect more acquisitions of development-ready copper/nickel projects (like Norront Resources), while we see more aggressive M&A of existing miners also a realistic scenario."

Overall, the broker sees plenty to be positive about and continues to rate its shares highly.

Morgans concluded: "We see BHP as best placed to take advantage of current varying commodity cycles and maintain our Add recommendation."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Share Market News

Three excited business people cheer around a laptop in the office
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett.
Opinions

3 ASX stocks that look like classic Warren Buffett investments

Here's why I think the Oracle of Omaha be interested in the ASX shares.

Read more »

Two happy shoppers looking at a smartphone together.
Share Market News

Why did ASX 200 retail shares outperform last week?

Wesfarmers, Light & Wonder, Nick Scali, and Temple & Webster shares surged 10% or more.

Read more »

Siblings laying upside down on a couch.
Opinions

2 ASX 200 shares I'd want my kids to own

These are two of my top picks right now.

Read more »

A man sits cross-legged in a zen pose on top of his desk as papers fly around his head, keeping calm amid the volatility.
Share Market News

What $500 a month in ASX ETFs looks like in 10 years

Boring, automatic, and relentless. That's how most everyday wealth actually gets built.

Read more »

A man in a suit looks serious while discussing business dealings with a couple as they sit around a computer at a desk in a bank home lending scenario.
Share Market News

Here's what Westpac says the RBA will do with interest rates next week

Is there another rate hike coming next week? Let's see what Australia's oldest bank is forecasting.

Read more »

A graphic image of a pile of gold coins balanced precariously with a house on top with smoke coming out of the chimney and a human figure with hands up as if to shield himself from the prospect of the house falling.
Broker Notes

This debt collector could surge 47% on negative gearing changes, Shaw and Partners says

A weaker housing market could be a boon for this company.

Read more »

Three young nerds dressed in suits with thinking caps and lightbulbs
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy right now

Let's find out which shares top brokers are feeling bullish about this week.

Read more »