Why this top broker thinks the Woolworths (ASX:WOW) share price can break new record highs

The party may not be over for the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price as JPMorgan upgraded the supermarket giant.

| More on:
Woolworth share price upgrade response to asx share price represented by hands holding up the word wow

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The party may not be over for the Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price as JPMorgan upgraded the supermarket giant.

The upgrade means that the Woolworths share price could soon be re-testing last February's record high of $43.45.

The ASX share has outperformed its archrival. The Coles Group Ltd (ASX: COL) share price has been virtually flat over the past year when the Woolworths share price jumped nearly 14%.

The gain isn't as impressive as the Metcash Limited (ASX: MTS) share price, which rallied 31% over the period.

Woolworths share price could reach new highs

But the Woolies share price may not have peaked, according to JPMorgan. The broker lifted its recommendation on Woolworths to "overweight" with a 12-month price target of $45 a share.

"Woolworths is likely to sustain market share gains at the expense of Coles due to the tailwinds of local, which could last longer than expected, and online, a structural growth opportunity," said JPMorgan.

"Coles could accelerate online investment at the expense of dividends but this is unlikely."

Technology provides sustainable edge

This personally reminds me of how the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) share price outruns the other ASX big banks over the long-term.

CBA has a technology edge as it invests more in IT, and that is one of the key reasons why it can keep ahead of the pact over the many years.

But there are three other reasons why JPMorgan is bullish on the Woolworths share price.

Three other reasons to buy the Woolworths share price

First is Woolworths ability to leverage on the Food and Everyday Needs ecosystem. The supermarket giant enjoys superior economies of scale in its food business and can generate incremental revenue streams with not much investment.

Then there is the potential turnaround of its Big W department store business. There are early signs that the struggling business has turned a corner after years of lacklustre performance.

Finally, JPMorgan points to the expected sale of its drinks and hotels division, Endeavour Group.

Not only will the divestment mean a potential capital return for investors who are eagerly eyeing the $2 billion plus of franking credits on Woolies' balance sheet, but cutting Endeavour Group is likely to drive increased demand in the Woolworths share price from ESG-focused investors.

Talk about a double win!

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau owns shares of Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Woolworths Limited. Connect with me on Twitter @brenlau.

The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of COLESGROUP DEF SET and Woolworths Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on Cheap Shares

Concept image of a man in a suit with his chest on fire.
Cheap Shares

In a hot market, the undervalued Australian shares to buy now

Not all value disappears when markets rise. I highlight where I think pessimism has gone too far.

Read more »

Couple looking at their phone surprised, symbolising a bargain buy.
Cheap Shares

Why these ASX 200 shares could be dirt cheap

Bell Potter thinks there's a lot of value on offer with these buy-rated shares.

Read more »

A couple cheers as they sit on their lounge looking at their laptop and reading about the rising Redbubble share price
Cheap Shares

3 ASX 200 shares that look like cheap buys to me

Some high-quality businesses on the ASX 200 are trading at levels that reflect pessimism rather than permanent damage.

Read more »

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Dividend Investing

1 ASX dividend stock down 62% I'd buy right now

This business could give investors significant dividend income.

Read more »

A young female investor with brown curly hair and wearing a yellow top and glasses sits at her desk using her calculator to work out how much her ASX dividend shares will pay this year
Cheap Shares

Why I would invest $10,000 in these cheap ASX shares

Sharp share price falls can create opportunity when business quality remains intact.

Read more »

Scientist with headache, stress and fatigue with woman, overworked with overtime for science breakthrough. Medical research, scientific innovation and senior female, burnout and migraine in lab.
Cheap Shares

Are CSL shares still a bargain at $177?

After a sharp sell-off, expectations have reset. The key question is whether the business has truly changed.

Read more »

A kid stretches up to reach the top of the ruler drawn on the wall behind.
Cheap Shares

2 undervalued ASX shares worth buying today

These quality ASX 200 stocks could offer 50-75% upside.

Read more »

A man thinks very carefully about his money and investments.
Cheap Shares

The 3 best undervalued ASX shares I'd pick up in January

3 high-quality ASX shares look undervalued as short-term concerns create potential long-term opportunities.

Read more »