'Chickens don't make money': fundie

This is how you forever doom yourself to conservatism and never pick a 10-bagger stock. So avoid doing these things.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you ever avoid buying a share because the price has gone up 10% in the past week, then you should stop investing and find another hobby.

That's the opinion of multiple experts who have warned retail investors about getting distracted about short-term price movements.

"Chickens don't make money," Marcus Today director Marcus Padley told his newsletter subscribers.

"If you are the sort of investor who says 'it's up 100%, I've missed it', you doom yourself to conservatism… You will never buy a 10-bagger."

The Motley Fool chief investment officer Scott Phillips said much the same to his newsletter readers this month.

"You reckon the person who bought Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) shares at $3, kicking herself for missing them at $2.90, is still kicking herself today, when the share price is closer to $40?"

"What would have been the bigger sin? Missing out on $0.10, or missing out altogether on buying, because your target price was never reached?"

Woman wearing chicken mask drawing money out at ATM

Image source: Getty Images

Share market corrections are awesome

Padley said stock market dips are "inevitable and regular".

"Expect a big one every ten years [where prices tumble 50%], and a tradeable one every three years (10-20%)."

He also noted crashes happen very quickly, but the recovery is often slow. And that leaves plenty of time to buy bargains from a rehabilitating market. 

"It's a year from the [COVID-19] correction and what we lost in 23 trading days we still haven't recovered,"  Padley told investors.

"You have plenty of time… to decide when and what to buy. There's no rush. You never have to catch the knife. The market never crashes up. You do not have to catch the bottom."

Forager Funds portfolio manager Harvey Migotti last week agreed the volatility in recent weeks has made it a good time to buy.

"We love that volatility because it allows us to buy really good high quality assets at a discounted price," he told a Forager video.

"Names that have fallen 40% from the highs, for no particular fundamental reason just to kind of get caught up in the rotation."

Don't check share prices everyday

If you don't worry about paying a few cents extra to grab that quality stock, you'd also be advised not to check daily price movements — for the same reason.

"Maybe the shares I bought this morning fall overnight. Maybe they go up. Maybe they close unchanged. I really don't care," said Phillips.

"If I've bought quality at a decent price, this'll be the last time I even remember what happened yesterday. The prize is through the windscreen, not the rear vision mirror."

According to The Motley Fool US contributor Christy Bieber, checking stock prices too often just provokes anxiety and pushes some people into emotional decisions.

"Making investing decisions based on emotion is a recipe for disaster," she said.

"To make sure you don't give into fear and make decisions that'll cost you, don't even look at the day-to-day performance of the market if it worries you. Instead, spend your time reviewing the fundamentals of the stocks you've bought and your asset allocation."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of Woolworths Limited. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on How to invest

A man and woman sit at a desk staring intently at a laptop screen with papers next to them.
How to invest

Top 3 ASX shares to invest your first $5,000 in

Three holdings that cover the basics for a first portfolio.

Read more »

Happy man holding Australian dollar notes, representing dividends.
How to invest

How to build a $100,000 passive income with ASX shares

It is possible to generate a huge pay check from the share market.

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city.
How to invest

The simple investing strategy anyone can use to get rich

Anyone can use this simple recipe to grow richer.

Read more »

Magnifying glass in front of an open newspaper with paper houses.
How to invest

Why ASX property shares are not directly impacted by the reform

The reform targets houses, not listed property trusts.

Read more »

A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.
How to invest

Investing $10,000 into ASX shares at record highs: does timing matter?

Time in the market is more important than timing the market.

Read more »

A young boy crouches behind a wall made of toilet rolls and uses two rolls as binoculars.
How to invest

Buying ASX shares: 3 things I look for

Make sure these boxes are ticked before you buy.

Read more »

man helping couple use a tablet
How to invest

How to start investing in ASX shares with $1,000

Time in the market is more important than timing the market.

Read more »

man laying on his couch with bundles of money and extremely ecstatic about high dividend returns
How to invest

How to turn $1,000 a month into $1 million with ASX shares

Compounding becomes very powerful once the balance reaches six figures.

Read more »