Why the Kogan (ASX:KGN) share price is underperforming

Why has the Kogan.com Ltd (ASX:KGN) share price underperformed the ASX 200 in November after its significant share price run this year?

| More on:
questioning whether asx share price is a buy represented by man in red shirt scratching his head

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) share price has underperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) by 13% so far in November. This follows the company's phenomenal share price run from around $4 to $25 between March and October this year. How did an ASX 200 growth superstar turn sour so quickly? 

What's happened to the Kogan share price?

Weakness in ASX shares that benefitted from lockdowns 

The recent rotation from tech and growth shares into value and cyclical shares could be weighing down on the Kogan share price. This rotation has seen the likes of airlines, travel shares and banks make significant share price recoveries, which is reflected by the recent surge in the ASX 200 to above the 6,600 level. 

While, we could attribute some blame to the recent rotation and weakness in sectors that benefitted from the lockdown, the Kogan share price is still underperforming some of its e-commerce and retail peers. The JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) share price, for example, is only down 7% this month. Meanwhile, the Redbubble Ltd (ASX: RBL) share price made a swift rebound to be up 17%. 

Shareholders divided over executive bonus 

Last Friday, Kogan shareholders approved the grant of options for Kogan co-founders, Ruslan Kogan and David Shafer. The vote was close, with 56% of shareholders for approval and 42% voting against.

The deal was struck at the height of the COVID-19 sell-down when the Kogan share price was trading at around $4 to $5. Therefore the exercise price for the options at $5.29 per share seemed reasonable at the time. 

However, at today's Kogan share price, these options would be immediately in-the-money and represent a handy $70 million pay packet for the co-founders. 

Foolish takeaway

One could argue the Kogan growth story is still intact, with the first four months of the financial year delivering a 131.7% increase in gross profit and a 268.8% increase in adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA). The company's strong performance has been attributed to more customers relying on Kogan to deliver goods for their homes and businesses during the period. We are now entering the peak Christmas trading period. November and December are typically the most important months of the year for the business, with strong trading performances having been delivered during these months throughout prior years. 

While the growth story may still appear to be fundamentally sound, the Kogan share price has seen significant selling volume in the past two weeks. Kogan shares are, however, still up nearly 120% year to date and more than 300% from their March lows. 

Lina Lim has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

ecommerce asx shares represented by santa doing online shopping on laptop
Healthcare Shares

Looking for ideas before Christmas? These 2 ASX shares stand out to me

Two ASX shares at opposite ends of the market are catching my attention as the year draws to a close.

Read more »

A man points at a paper as he holds an alarm clock, indicating the ex-dividend date is approaching.
Retail Shares

Where will Wesfarmers shares be in 3 years?

This business continues to be an impressive long-term performer.

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Retail Shares

Bell Potter names three retail stock picks for your Christmas hamper

These three retail stocks will help set you up for a strong start to 2026, the broker says.

Read more »

A happy young couple celebrate a win by jumping high above their new sofa.
Share Market News

What could keep Harvey Norman shares climbing in 2026?

The property assets and share buyback program could carry the rally into 2026.

Read more »

A woman smiles over the top of multiple shopping bags she is holding in both hands up near her face.
Broker Notes

Broker tips 68% upside for Myer shares following brutal sell-off

Could a turnaround be on the cards?

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Dividend Investing

Here's how another $5,000 invested in this high-yield ASX 200 star could boost my dividend income over time!

This high-yield ASX 200 retailer has slipped under $1, but its dividend profile remains one of the strongest in the…

Read more »

Woman looking at prices for televisions in an electronics store.
Retail Shares

Up 50% in 2025, should you buy Harvey Norman shares before Christmas?

Two leading investment experts deliver their verdicts on Harvey Norman’s surging shares.

Read more »

Two fashionable asx investors dancing among confetti.
Retail Shares

Why is the Myer share price rocketing 10% on Thursday?

ASX investors are piling into Myer shares today. But why?

Read more »