Can the Harvey Norman (ASX:HVN) share price push higher in 2021?

Why the Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) share price could be a hidden bargain with a strong dividend yield in 2020.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Harvey Norman Holdings Ltd (ASX: HVN) share price has been outperforming this year. Shares in the Aussie retailer are up 4.2% while the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 11.8% for the year.

Here's why I think the Harvey Norman share price has further to run in 2021. 

Why the Harvey Norman share price is climbing

Strong earnings has been the key to a surging Harvey Norman share price.

The Aussie retailer reported a record full-year earnings result with $8.46 billion in FY20 sales revenue. Underlying net profit after tax climbed 30.9% to $462.2 million with operating cash flow of $1.1 billion.

That saw the company pay a fully-franked 18 cents per share dividend to be paid on 2 November.

The Harvey Norman share price is yielding a tidy 4.3% right now. That's a pretty good return given the challenges facing many Aussie companies right now.

Why the ASX retail share has further to run

A persistently high Aussie dollar could be good news for the Harvey Norman share price.

The Aussie retailer is a net importer of products. That means a strong domestic currency makes those purchases relatively more cheap and profit margins can be boosted.

I still think there is also further room for sales volumes to grow. Aussies stocked up on home office electronics when the coronavirus pandemic began but I think we could see further investment.

However, a shift in working arrangements could see more housing activity. With more Aussies moving residences, the demand for a suite of electronics could surge.

It's interesting to note that Harvey Norman has started the year strongly in FY21. That includes an uptick in sales for July and August with overseas sales recovering quickly.

Is it all good news?

Harvey Norman still faces some intense competition. That's especially the case with Kogan.com Ltd (ASX: KGN) continuing to make big strides.

It's tough to predict what FY21 will hold for the retail sector. Harvey Norman does have a strong online presence which may help mitigate some of the impact from COVID-19 restrictions.

I think the 10.8 price to earnings (P/E) ratio and 4.3% dividend yield still make the Harvey Norman share price worth a look in 2020.

Ken Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of Kogan.com ltd. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Kogan.com ltd. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

ecommerce asx shares represented by santa doing online shopping on laptop
Healthcare Shares

Looking for ideas before Christmas? These 2 ASX shares stand out to me

Two ASX shares at opposite ends of the market are catching my attention as the year draws to a close.

Read more »

A man points at a paper as he holds an alarm clock, indicating the ex-dividend date is approaching.
Retail Shares

Where will Wesfarmers shares be in 3 years?

This business continues to be an impressive long-term performer.

Read more »

Stressed shopper holding shopping bags.
Retail Shares

Bell Potter names three retail stock picks for your Christmas hamper

These three retail stocks will help set you up for a strong start to 2026, the broker says.

Read more »

A happy young couple celebrate a win by jumping high above their new sofa.
Share Market News

What could keep Harvey Norman shares climbing in 2026?

The property assets and share buyback program could carry the rally into 2026.

Read more »

A woman smiles over the top of multiple shopping bags she is holding in both hands up near her face.
Broker Notes

Broker tips 68% upside for Myer shares following brutal sell-off

Could a turnaround be on the cards?

Read more »

A mature aged man with grey hair and glasses holds a fan of Australian hundred dollar bills up against his mouth and looks skywards with his eyes as though he is thinking what he might do with the cash.
Dividend Investing

Here's how another $5,000 invested in this high-yield ASX 200 star could boost my dividend income over time!

This high-yield ASX 200 retailer has slipped under $1, but its dividend profile remains one of the strongest in the…

Read more »

Woman looking at prices for televisions in an electronics store.
Retail Shares

Up 50% in 2025, should you buy Harvey Norman shares before Christmas?

Two leading investment experts deliver their verdicts on Harvey Norman’s surging shares.

Read more »

Two fashionable asx investors dancing among confetti.
Retail Shares

Why is the Myer share price rocketing 10% on Thursday?

ASX investors are piling into Myer shares today. But why?

Read more »