Correction or crash for ASX 200 shares?

Is this the start of a correction or market crash for the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO)? I don't think investors should be worried… yet

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is having another not-so-nice day on the markets today. At the time of writing, the index is down another 2.48% at the time of writing to 5,858.8 points. That's the lowest level the ASX 200 has been at since mid-June. Since last Thursday, the ASX 200 has now lost around 4.5% of its value, which means we're not quite in official correction territory just yet. That requires a fall of 10% or more from the most recent high.

But is that the way we are headed after today's market moves? After all, this doesn't seem to be shaping out to be a 'one-off' hit, seeing as the ASX 200 has been down-trending since last week. Or could we even be heading for another 2020 market crash (which is defined by a 20% fall or more)?

Woman sitting on couch holding newspaper with shocked expression on face

Image source: Getty Images

US tech wiped out

Well, first thing's first. The ASX 200 is probably only falling because of what's happened in the US markets over the past week. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 have both been hit very hard. The Nasdaq's blowoff has been especially spectacular. Since last Thursday (US time), the NASDAQ 100 is officially in correction territory, down 10.85%. That's a sharp correction for just a week's worth of trading.

The trigger? Massive sell-offs in US tech shares. The poster child for Nasdaq exuberance – Elon Musk's electric car and battery manufacturer Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) – is down more than 34% over the past week. This move is apparently solely a response to the company not making the cut for the S&P 500 Index this quarter. Not a reason to devalue an entire company by a third under normal circumstances. But hey, this is apparently the world we're living in now.

Other tech shares haven't been spared either though. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) is down 15% over the past week, as is Amazon.com, Inc (NASDAQ: AMZN) with a 9.74% drop. Even lockdown wunderkind Zoom Video Communications Inc (NASDAQ: ZM) is down more than 20%.

So what's going on? And how does this affect the ASX?

ASX 200 correction or crash?

Unfortunately, the ASX 200 is inextricably linked to the US markets, and, as the old saying goes, if the US coughs, the rest of the world catches a cold. Big falls in US markets tend to prompt ASX investors to take profits and pull of out 'risk-on' positions. What we've seen on the ASX 200 over the past week is 'froth being blown off the top of the market' in my view. Whilst this is not good news for investors today, I think that it's a temporary setback for ASX shares.

Unless the US markets start tanking in a more dramatic fashion, or some other structural market issue emerges, I don't think investors have too much to be worried about today. Markets do these kinds of things all the time, it's a healthy pullback after things got a bit too carried away in my view. As long as you're still happy with the holdings in your portfolio, I wouldn't lose too much sleep just yet.

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Sebastian Bowen owns shares of Tesla. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of and recommends Amazon, Apple, Tesla, and Zoom Video Communications and recommends the following options: long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon and short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Amazon and Apple. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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