5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX:NCM), QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX:QBE), and Santos Ltd (ASX:STO) shares will be on watch on the ASX 200 on Monday…

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

On Friday the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week on a disappointing note. The benchmark index fell 1.15% to 6,024 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 set to drop lower.

The ASX 200 looks set to drop lower this morning after a poor finish to the week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the benchmark index is expected to open the week 27 points or 0.45% lower. On Wall Street the Dow Jones fell 0.7%, the S&P 500 dropped 0.6%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.9%.

Oil prices edge higher.

Energy producers such as Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) could start the week with a small gain. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price climbed 0.55% to US$41.29 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price rose 0.1% to US$43.34 a barrel. This was the third week out of four that oil prices have recorded weekly gains.

Gold price breaks through US$1,900 mark.

Gold miners including Newcrest Mining Limited (ASX: NCM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could be on the rise on Monday after the gold price strengthened further. According to CNBC, the spot gold price rose 0.4% to US$1,925.20 an ounce. The gold price closed at a record high amid rising tensions between the U.S. and China.

Non-bank financial shares to buy.

Analysts at Goldman Sachs have been looking through non-bank financial shares ahead of earnings season and are recommending which ones to buy and which ones to sell. Top of the buy list is the QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE) share price with a conviction buy rating and an $11.52 price target. This price target implies potential upside of 11% excluding dividends. It believes QBE is well positioned to capitalise on the hardening cycle.

Non-bank financial shares to sell.

At the bottom of Goldman Sachs' list among the non-bank financials is the ASX Ltd (ASX: ASX) share price. It has a sell rating and $70.29 price target on the stock exchange operator's shares. This price target implies potential downside of 16% for its shares. It is bearish on ASX Ltd due to emerging rates business headwinds and its peak valuation belief.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was a rough start to the week for investors.

Read more »

a woman stands with her hand to the side of her head and a sad, slightly distressed look to her expression while holding a large glass of milk in her other hand.
Share Market News

The a2 Milk Company shares fall 11% after responding to an ASX price query

a2 Milk Company confirms no undisclosed news behind its latest share price drop following an ASX price query.

Read more »

CEO of a company looking straight ahead.
Share Market News

Region Group names Greg Chubb as new CEO and Managing Director

Greg Chubb will begin his new roles in March 2026.

Read more »

A man using a phone shouts and puts his hand out in a stop motion indicating the Yancoal trading halt today
Share Market News

The A2 Milk Company in trading halt: What investors should know

The A2 Milk Company shares have increased more than 40% in the past 12 months.

Read more »

Calculator and gold bars on Australian dollars, symbolising dividends.
Share Market News

Gold, silver hit new highs as US punishes Europe with tariffs over Greenland stance

The United States wants to buy Greenland for security purposes.

Read more »

Beautiful young woman drinking fresh orange juice in kitchen.
Share Gainers

Why Catalyst Metals, Lynas, Polynovo, and St George Mining shares are pushing higher today

These shares are starting the week with a bang. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Fortescue, Life360, PLS, and Syrah shares are dropping today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A few gold nullets sit on an old-fashioned gold scale, representing ASX gold shares.
Gold

Guess which surging ASX gold share is leaping another 18% today on high-grade results

Investors are piling into this small-cap ASX gold share today. But why?

Read more »