Why I'd buy and hold a2 Milk shares until 2025

Despite their recent growth, here's why I believe a2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) shares are a great buy and hold option for the long term.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The A2 Milk Company Ltd (ASX: A2M) share price has continued to soar higher during the coronavirus crisis, while many companies on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) have struggled.

Since the beginning of February, a2 Milk shares have increased from $14.16 to their current price of $18.84, at the time of writing. Demand for a2 Milk's products has remained high throughout the crisis. But aside from the company's strong performance recently, here's why I think a2 Milk shares are a good option to buy and hold for the long term.

Strong financial performance

In its half year FY 2020 results, a2 Milk recorded a very strong 31.6% increase in total revenue to NZ$806.7 million. Earnings also grew strongly despite the company's aggressive growth strategy, with earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) increasing 20.5%. A2's Liquid Milk business continues to grow strongly in Australia and New Zealand, while sales for the company doubled in its United States market.

In its most recent trading update, a2 Milk revealed continued strong growth from late February to late April across all regions. Demand for the company's infant nutrition products sold in China and Australia has been particularly robust.

Chinese and US markets key to a2 Milk's long-term success

I believe that continued expansion into the US and China will be key to a2 Milk's success over the next 5 years. In particular, the Chinese market still holds huge untapped potential for the ASX and NZX dual listed company. Not only is the size of this market very large, Chinese consumers are increasingly choosing premium brands over mass market products. A growing number also have a preference for foreign brands, especially for specific market niches like infant formula.

However, a significant degree of regulatory risk still remains in China. Bellamy's Australia Ltd has already witnessed some obstacles in this respect. Also, competition in the Chinese market is growing from locally based providers such as Junlebao Dairy. 

Foolish takeaway

It appears the market has already factored in ambitious growth targets for a2 Milk. And, if these targets are not met, then the company's share price would most likely be negatively impacted. I'm confident, however, that a2 Milk remains reasonably well positioned to continue growing and realise its future plans.

I also believe that a2 Milk's well-established brand name and entrenched position in the Australian market gives it the edge over other infant formula providers such as Bubs Australia Ltd (ASX: BUB) and Nuchev Ltd (ASX: NUC).

In my mind, this makes a2 Milk shares a good buy and hold proposition for the long term.

Phil Harpur owns shares of A2 Milk. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of BUBS AUST FPO. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of A2 Milk. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended BUBS AUST FPO. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

Piggy bank sinking in water symbolising a record low share price.
52-Week Lows

9 ASX 200 shares tumbling to 52-week lows today

Israel's strike on Iran on Friday dragged several ASX 200 shares to new depths.

Read more »

Female miner smiling at a mine site.
Share Gainers

Up 834% in a year, guess which ASX mining stock is hitting new all-time highs today

The ASX mining stock has gone from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Broker written in white with a man drawing a yellow underline.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy now

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why COG, Karoon Energy, Netwealth, and Pilbara Minerals shares are dropping today

These ASX shares are ending the week deep in the red. But why?

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why Fiducian Group, Northern Star, Paradigm, and Santos shares are charging higher

These shares are avoiding the market selloff.

Read more »

Dollar sign in yellow with a red falling arrow in front of a graph, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Market News

Why did the ASX 200 just sink to new 2-month lows on Friday?

It’s been a rocky week for the ASX 200. But why?

Read more »

Woman looking at a phone with stock market bars in the background.
Opinions

I'm buying these quality ASX shares to capitalise on the decline

These are the shares I'd buy if the markets get any worse.

Read more »

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Broker Notes

Why this ASX 100 stock can rise 14% to a new 52-week high

Goldman Sachs thinks investors should be buying this top stock now.

Read more »