The Qantas share price fell 41% in March: Time to buy?

The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX:QAN) share price fell heavily during the month of March. Is this a buying opportunity for investors?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) share price was one of the worst performers on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) last month.

During March the airline operator's shares fell a massive 41.5%. This was almost double the 21.2% decline recorded by the benchmark ASX 200 index.

Why did the Qantas share price crash lower in March?

Qantas and fellow airlines Air New Zealand Limited (ASX: AIZ) and Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd (ASX: VAH) were hammered last month after government's around the world closed their borders to stop the spread of the coronavirus.

Throughout the month Qantas cut its capacity lower and lower, before ultimately grounding all its international fleet.

The company also cut its domestic capacity materially in response to a collapse in demand. This was achieved through a significant reduction in flight frequency, but also route suspensions and postponing a number of new route launches.

This ultimately led to the airline standing down the majority of its 30,000 employees until at least the end of May 2020 and deferring its dividend payment until September.

Is this a buying opportunity?

Whilst I believe it would be prudent to hold off investing until the coronavirus crisis passes and travel and tourism markets return to normal, some brokers believe this share price weakness is a buying opportunity.

According to a note out of Morgan Stanley last week, its analysts have an overweight rating and $5.60 price target on the company's shares. This price target implies potential upside of over 70% from its last close price.

Another broker that is positive on the airline is Citi. A couple of weeks ago the broker upgraded its shares to a buy rating with a $3.70 price target.

It expects a U-shaped recovery to take place, with demand and trading conditions bouncing back in FY 2021. Though, the broker does class its shares as a high risk option given the increased uncertainty.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

Will the market end the week on a high? Let's find out.

Read more »

A young boy sits on his father's shoulders as they flex their muscles at sunrise on a beach
Energy Shares

1 ASX penny stock I'd buy now while it's only 5 cents

I think this ASX penny stock has outsized growth potential.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Broker Notes

Morgans says these are some of the very best ASX 200 shares to buy

The broker believes these shares could be destined to deliver big returns.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Broker Notes

Where to invest $8,000 on the ASX in April 2024

A leading broker thinks these shares would be quality options this month.

Read more »

Fancy font saying top ten surrounded by gold leaf set against a dark background of glittering stars.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Let's also take a look at what the various ASX sectors were doing this Wednesday.

Read more »

Two male ASX 200 analysts stand in an office looking at various computer screens showing share prices
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

A young women pumps her fists in excitement after seeing some good news on her laptop.
Share Gainers

Why Argosy Minerals, Immutep, Pointsbet, and Regis Resources shares are racing higher

These shares are having a strong session on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Chalice Mining, Cleanaway, Kogan, and Perpetual shares are sinking today

These ASX shares are having a tough time on Wednesday. But why?

Read more »