The Appen share price is down 16% in August: is it a buy?

Despite rocketing 100% higher so far this year, the Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price has struggled in August. Will it fall further or is now the time to buy?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Despite rocketing 100% higher so far this year, the Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price has struggled in August amid a broader downturn in Aussie technology stocks.

So, while the Appen share price has plunged 16% lower in the last 2 weeks, are Appen shares cheap or will they fall further in 2019?

Why the Appen share price has plunged in August

The recent flare-up in the US–China trade war has hit ASX technology stocks hard, including the "WAAAX" stocks, which are made up of WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC), Appen, Afterpay Touch Group Ltd (ASX: APT), Altium Ltd (ASX: ALU) and Xero Ltd (ASX: XRO).

The ongoing tit-for-tat between the two global superpowers has spooked markets and seen technology and resources stocks, which are usually influenced by supply and demand factors out of China, plunge lower in August.

Among these has been Appen, which has seen its share price plummet 16% so far this month amid concerns its revenue streams could be impacted by the ongoing trade war.

Why has the Appen share price surged in 2019?

The one big factor that Appen has going for it is its proven history of outperforming market expectations and its own earnings guidance.

This has been a key reason why the Appen share price has surged 4,688% since its IPO, with seemingly constant earnings surprises and upgrades over the last few years.

Even just this year, the Appen share price has rocketed 100% higher largely driven by steady expansion, a strong domestic equities market and a solid full-year earnings result in February.

The Appen share price surged 20% in one day after posting FY18 underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) of $71.3 million, up a whopping 153% on FY17 numbers.

Appen's Content Relevance division was a strong contributor to the company's earnings, with the company's cornerstone delivered a 148% increase in revenue to $312.8 million. 

Are Appen shares a bargain or falling further?

While the Appen share price has fallen 16% in August to $25.57 per share, there are still growth prospects for the Aussie artificial intelligence and machine learning company.

Just yesterday, the Appen share price climbed 0.9% higher in signs that investors may have confidence in the company's future growth prospects.

However, I think that Appen shares are still a little overheated given they are trading at 65x earnings, despite its $3.1 billion market cap.

I would personally be keeping my powder dry until after Appen's half-year results release in August, especially given the company is still valued at the high end of its 52-week trading range.

Kenneth Hall has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. owns shares of WiseTech Global. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Altium, Appen Ltd, and Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

rising asx share price represented by drone flying in the air
Technology Shares

What's happening with Droneshield shares today?

In the last two trading days Droneshield shares leapt 19% then tumbled 16%. So, what’s happening today?

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Technology Shares

Guess which ASX 200 founder just sold off $18 million worth of company shares

Should investors be worried about this share sale?

Read more »

A skydiving man in a jester hat and carrying a burger and sauce, pokes out his tongue at the camera, indicating all is not lost when you're falling.
Technology Shares

Why is the Droneshield share price crashing 19% on Monday?

Investors are sending shares in Droneshield down 19% in morning trade.

Read more »

A woman holds her hand out under a graphic hologram image of a human brain with brightly lit segments and section points.
Technology Shares

1 ASX artificial intelligence (AI) stock that could help turbocharge your portfolio

Analysts at Goldman Sachs are raving about this AI stock.

Read more »

a group of tech people gather around a computer operated by a young woman while the group looks on in support.
Technology Shares

Brokers say this rapidly growing ASX 200 tech stock is a strong buy

Big returns could be on the cards for owners of this stock.

Read more »

A corporate female wearing glasses looks intently at a virtual reality screen with shapes and lights representing Block shares going up today
Technology Shares

Here are 'blue-sky valuations' for these hot ASX 200 tech stocks

These ASX 200 tech stocks could have huge potential according to analysts.

Read more »

A person sitting at a desk smiling and looking at a computer.
Technology Shares

'You could make a decent amount of money' from this ASX 200 tech stock

This stock could be an underrated play.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Technology Shares

What's happening with the NextDC share price on Thursday?

NextDC is raising $1.32 billion to accelerate its data centre developments amid the rapid growth of AI.

Read more »