AGL Energy share price on watch after weak FY 2020 guidance

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) share price could be on the move today following the release of the energy company's full year results…

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price will be on watch this morning following the release of its full year results.

How did AGL perform in FY 2019?

For the 12 months ended June 30, the energy company posted a 43% decline in statutory profit after tax to $905 million. On a per share basis this was 138 cents per share, which was also down 43% on FY 2018's result.

Things were better on an underlying basis, with AGL Energy reporting a 2% increase in underlying profit after tax to $1,040 million. Underlying earnings per share was also up 2% to 158.6 cents.

The company reported net cash from operating activities of $1,599 million, down 25% on the prior corresponding period. Despite this, AGL declared a final dividend of 64 cents per share, which was up 1 cent from the same period last year. This dividend will be 80% franked.

AGL managing director and CEO, Brett Redman, appeared to be pleased with the company's performance in FY 2019.

He said: "…we were encouraged to see an increase in customer numbers over the course of the year and a reduction in the levels of customer churn – as well as near record generation output from our electricity fleet, including an increasing share of non-thermal generation as we deliver the Silverton and Coopers Gap wind projects via the Powering Australian Renewables Fund."

Outlook.

Unfortunately for shareholders, the company is forecasting a sharp drop in underlying earnings in FY 2020.

Its guidance is for underlying profit after tax to be between $780 million and $860 million in FY 2020. This will be a 17.3% to 25% decline on FY 2019's result and is due partly to the outage at Unit 2 at AGL Loy Yang.

Mr Redman explained: ""Our expectation for materially lower earnings in FY20 reflects the impact of the extended outage of Unit 2 at AGL Loy Yang we announced in June, higher depreciation following our recent increases in capital investment, and operating headwinds from lower wholesale electricity and renewable energy certificate prices, higher input fuel costs and the re-regulation of retail standing offer prices for electricity."

The managing director was optimistic on the future, though. Advising: "Despite this lower earnings outlook, AGL's operating outlook remains strong. We have entered the new financial year in a robust financial position, meaning we can invest back into the business and execute our growth strategy at the same time as we undertake the on-market share buyback we have announced today."

In respect to its on-market share buyback, this morning the company revealed that it plans to buy back up to 5% of its issued share capital. Based on its last closing share price, this equates to approximately $650 million.

Perth Energy acquisition.

In addition to this, the company has announced the signing of an agreement with Infratil Ltd (ASX: IFT) for the purchase of the Perth Energy business.

Perth Energy is Western Australia's leading independent energy retailer, marketing electricity and gas to small and medium size enterprises and commercial and industrial users.

The agreement will see AGL Energy pay $74 million now and a further $19 million contingent on final financial outcomes under a material contract and the tax treatment of certain penalty refunds which Perth Energy expects to be entitled to claim.

Rival Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) is scheduled to release its full year results in two weeks on August 22.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

a group of enthusiastic people dash out of open doors as though in a hurry to purchase something. The picture features the legs of some people, faces of others and people in the background trying to get through the crowd.
Opinions

Why I'm calling this ASX reporting season 'buying season'

Reporting season might come in like a wrecking ball... and that's fine by me.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Broker Notes

These ASX shares could rise 20% to 40%

Big returns could be on offer from these stocks according to analysts.

Read more »

A man in his office leans back in his chair with his hands behind his head looking out his window at the city, sitting back and relaxed, confident in his ASX share investments for the long term.
Share Market News

Good ASX news! Australia's 'one of the cleanest markets in the world'

Investors can sleep well at night knowing our market system has integrity.

Read more »

three businessmen high five each other outside an office building with graphic images of graphs and metrics superimposed on the shot.
Share Market News

5 Australian shares to buy and hold forever

Analysts think these buy-rated shares would be great options for investors.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Share Market News

Could Fortescue shares fall a further 14% from here?

Bell Potter is tipping the mining giant's shares to continue sinking.

Read more »

Happy work colleagues give each other a fist pump.
Share Market News

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

The ASX actually finished its week on a high note today.

Read more »

Two parents and two children happily eat pizza in their kitchen as a top broker predicts a 46% upside for the Domino's share price
Broker Notes

Buy one, sell the other: Goldman's take on these 2 ASX retail shares

Despite high interest rates and inflation, ASX retail shares have been on a strong run.

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Share Fallers

Why Bellevue Gold, Chrysos, Meteoric Resources, and Newmont shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough finish to the week. But why?

Read more »