AGL Energy share price on watch after weak FY 2020 guidance

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) share price could be on the move today following the release of the energy company's full year results…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price will be on watch this morning following the release of its full year results.

a woman

How did AGL perform in FY 2019?

For the 12 months ended June 30, the energy company posted a 43% decline in statutory profit after tax to $905 million. On a per share basis this was 138 cents per share, which was also down 43% on FY 2018's result.

Things were better on an underlying basis, with AGL Energy reporting a 2% increase in underlying profit after tax to $1,040 million. Underlying earnings per share was also up 2% to 158.6 cents.

The company reported net cash from operating activities of $1,599 million, down 25% on the prior corresponding period. Despite this, AGL declared a final dividend of 64 cents per share, which was up 1 cent from the same period last year. This dividend will be 80% franked.

AGL managing director and CEO, Brett Redman, appeared to be pleased with the company's performance in FY 2019.

He said: "…we were encouraged to see an increase in customer numbers over the course of the year and a reduction in the levels of customer churn – as well as near record generation output from our electricity fleet, including an increasing share of non-thermal generation as we deliver the Silverton and Coopers Gap wind projects via the Powering Australian Renewables Fund."

Outlook.

Unfortunately for shareholders, the company is forecasting a sharp drop in underlying earnings in FY 2020.

Its guidance is for underlying profit after tax to be between $780 million and $860 million in FY 2020. This will be a 17.3% to 25% decline on FY 2019's result and is due partly to the outage at Unit 2 at AGL Loy Yang.

Mr Redman explained: ""Our expectation for materially lower earnings in FY20 reflects the impact of the extended outage of Unit 2 at AGL Loy Yang we announced in June, higher depreciation following our recent increases in capital investment, and operating headwinds from lower wholesale electricity and renewable energy certificate prices, higher input fuel costs and the re-regulation of retail standing offer prices for electricity."

The managing director was optimistic on the future, though. Advising: "Despite this lower earnings outlook, AGL's operating outlook remains strong. We have entered the new financial year in a robust financial position, meaning we can invest back into the business and execute our growth strategy at the same time as we undertake the on-market share buyback we have announced today."

In respect to its on-market share buyback, this morning the company revealed that it plans to buy back up to 5% of its issued share capital. Based on its last closing share price, this equates to approximately $650 million.

Perth Energy acquisition.

In addition to this, the company has announced the signing of an agreement with Infratil Ltd (ASX: IFT) for the purchase of the Perth Energy business.

Perth Energy is Western Australia's leading independent energy retailer, marketing electricity and gas to small and medium size enterprises and commercial and industrial users.

The agreement will see AGL Energy pay $74 million now and a further $19 million contingent on final financial outcomes under a material contract and the tax treatment of certain penalty refunds which Perth Energy expects to be entitled to claim.

Rival Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) is scheduled to release its full year results in two weeks on August 22.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

a man sits at his desk wearing a business shirt and tie and has a hearty laugh at something on his mobile phone.
Share Gainers

Why Deep Yellow, Develop Global, Resolute Mining, and Santos shares are pushing higher today

These shares are catching the eye on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Healthcare Shares

Cochlear stock down 40%: How much has this cost ASX investors?

One day can ruin years of success...

Read more »

Bored man sitting at his desk with his laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Black Cat, Mirvac, Qantas, and Temple & Webster shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

An old-fashioned news boy stands on a stool and yells through a microphone in an open field.
Share Market News

Why is everyone talking about Core Lithium, Ampol and Santos shares on Thursday?

Ampol, Core Lithium and Santos shares are making waves on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

A boy in a green shirt holds up his hands in front of a screen full of question marks.
Share Market News

Are Xero shares a buy after rebounding 17% from three-year low

The tech stock bottomed at a multi-year low of $70.42 earlier this month.

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Broker reiterates buy ratings on 2 ASX shares

These ASX shares remain worth watching.

Read more »

Sell buy and hold on a digital screen with a man pointing at the sell square.
Broker Notes

After more than quadrupling investors' money in a year, are PLS shares still a buy?

A leading analyst delivers his outlook for the soaring PLS share price.

Read more »

A young man wearing a bright yellow jumper and glasses purses his lips together and moves them to the side of his face as he wonders about something.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, or sell? Life360, Iress, Lynas Rare Earths shares

Experts reveal their views.

Read more »