Is this large cap dog of the energy sector a bargain?

The Caltex Australia Limited (ASX CTX) share price inched higher even as the fuel and convenience store retailer reported further margin compression and falling petrol sales in the June quarter.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Caltex Australia Limited (ASX CTX) share price inched higher even as the fuel and convenience store retailer reported further margin compression and falling petrol sales in the June quarter.

The Caltex share price inched up 0.3% to $25.99 in morning trade, which is largely in line with gains by the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) index.

The bad news is already in the embattled CTX share price and it remains a dog among its peers in the S&P/ASX 200 Energy (Index:^AXEJ) (ASX:XEJ) benchmark with a loss of nearly 16% over the past year when the energy index is down by less than 9%.

In contrast, the Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) share price jumped 12% while the Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) share price lost less than 3% over the period. Even fellow petrol station operator Viva Energy Group Ltd (ASX: VEA) which struggled with its own operational issues is faring better with a loss of 9%.

a woman

Getting squeezed

Caltex is the dog of the energy sector and it won't win any friends with the latest quarterly Caltex Refiner Margin (CRM) update. The profit it made in the three months from April to June 2019 fell to US$7.45 per barrel (bbl) from US$7.53 per bbl in the previous quarter.

The squeeze is even bigger compared to the same period last year when Caltex collected US$10.42/bbl.

CRM sales from production was also weaker in the second quarter of calendar year 2019 (Q2CY19). Caltex sold 1,373 mega litres (ML), which is 7.7% lower than Q1CY19 and 13% less than the June quarter in 2018.

But Caltex had already paid the piper when its share price crashed in June after it announced a profit downgrade. Today's bad news was expected although it won't provide a badly needed catalyst for the stock.

Is the CTX share price a buy?

The fact is, there are very few reasons why I would want to buy the stock, even at the current share price, and many reasons why I wouldn't.

Caltex is different from an oil and gas stock as it makes profit from selling fuel, although margins generally fares better when crude prices are rising.

But if I was bullish on the oil price, I would rather buy and oil and gas producer than Caltex. I am also unsure about the longer-term sustainability of selling fuel when electric vehicles are on the rise. Caltex needs to reinvent itself and it isn't yet clear what its future business model would look like.

I think there are better alternatives to Caltex and if you are wondering where else you should be looking for "buy" ideas, you might want to check out the following free report from the experts at the Motley Fool.

Follow the link below to find out more.   

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Connect with him on Twitter @brenlau.

The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Gainers

Winning woman smiles and holds big cup while losing woman looks unhappy with small cup.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Another day, another loss for investors.

Read more »

A young woman holding her phone smiles broadly and looks excited, after receiving good news.
Share Gainers

Why Capstone Copper, Gentrack, Mineral Resources, and WiseTech shares are racing higher today

These shares are avoiding the market weakness and pushing higher. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price today
Healthcare Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords healthcare share is rocketing 18% in Thursday's sinking market

Investors are piling into the ASX healthcare share on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Three children wearing athletic short and singlets stand side by side on a running track wearing medals around their necks and standing with their hands on their hips.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

It was another rough day for the markets this Wednesday.

Read more »

people looking through comical glasses, what to look for, reporting season, person thinking, person interested
Share Gainers

Are APA shares a buy after reaching a three-year high?

Can the share price keep storming higher in 2026?

Read more »

A service station attendant crosses his arms and smiles towards the camera with a backdrop of petrol bowsers and a drive-through facility.
Energy Shares

Ampol shares surge 50% to a two-year high: Buy, sell or hold?

Find out what upside analysts are tipping for Ampol shares next.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Share Gainers

Why 29Metals, Aurelia Metals, Codan, and oOhMedia shares are racing higher today

These shares are faring better than most on hump day. What's going on?

Read more »

A male ASX investor on the street wearing a grey suit clenches his fist and yells yes after seeing on his ipad that the Paladin share price is going up again today
Share Market News

If I'd put $6K in this ASX mining stock 12 months ago I'd have over $20k now

Analysts tip the ASX miner's share price to climbing higher over the next 12 months.

Read more »