The Oil Search share price slumps on its 2019 production guidance

The Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) share price failed to hold on to morning gains even after the oil and gas producer posted higher revenue is the latest quarter.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Oil Search Limited (ASX: OSH) share price failed to hold on to morning gains even after the oil and gas producer posted higher revenue is the latest quarter.

The OSH share price tumbled 2.5% to $7.60 during lunch time trade when the S&P/ASX 200 (Index:^AXJO) (ASX:XJO) shed 0.5% of its value.

Oil Search isn't the only stock to retreat in the afternoon though. The Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) share price dipped 0.3% to $33.83, the Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) share price lost 0.4% to $7.22 and the Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) surrendered its 1% morning gain to trade just under breakeven.

The sector's retreat shouldn't worry investors. Our energy stocks have been among the best performers on the ASX since Christmas and the modest consolidation is expected. The fall also comes on the back of thin trading as the US market is closed for a holiday.

Devil in the details

But those hoping that Oil Search's 6% increase in fourth quarter revenue over the previous three months to US$503.1 million would support the stock could be disappointed.

The market has taken a glass half empty view of the production report, which showed a 1% drop in production to 7.4 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMboe). This takes total production for 2018 to 25.2MMboe, or 17% lower than 2017.

The production drop shouldn't come as a surprise though as the devastating earthquake in the PNG highlands impacted on operations. The full-year production figure was also inline with the company's guidance range.

The falling oil price also detracted from the revenue growth figure with management reporting lower oil and condensate prices but higher LNG gas prices.

Investors may also have been hoping for more in regards to management's 2019 production guidance with management tipping total production to come in between 28MMboe and 31.5MMboe.

Foolish Takeaway

On the upside, Oil Search is expecting production costs for 2018 to come in at the lower end of its US$11.50 to US$12.50 per barrel guidance range. That is a relief as resource companies have been complaining about rising cost inflation.

Further, the production cost will include a US$65 million hit for earthquake recovery and repairs with just about half of the amount offset by insurance payouts to the company.

I suspect the Oil Search share price won't stay down for long if my expectations for firmer global oil prices play out this year, thanks to the US and China mending strained trade relations and OPEC and Russia refraining from breaking their production quotas.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Four people on the beach leap high into the air.
Opinions

4 reasons why I think BHP shares are a must-buy for 2026

The mining giant's shares are now 20% higher than this time last year.

Read more »

Miner holding a silver nugget.
Resources Shares

Up 300% over a year, this minerals explorer still has further to go, one broker says

Recent silver and tin exploration results are encouraging.

Read more »

A miner holding a hard hat stands in the foreground of an open-cut mine.
Resources Shares

Dateline shares halted as investors await key announcement

Dateline shares are halted as investors await a potentially market-moving announcement.

Read more »

Engineer looking at mining trucks at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Why this fund manager is buying BHP shares

A leading fund manager expects BHP shares to deliver more outperformance in 2026. Let’s see why.

Read more »

Three women athletes lie flat on a running track as though they have had a long hard race where they have fought hard but lost the event.
Broker Notes

Brokers rate 2 ASX All Ords rippers of 2025: Is their phenomenal run over?

Both of these ASX shares more than tripled in value last year.

Read more »

Keyboard button with the word sell on it, symbolising the time being right to sell ASX stocks.
Resources Shares

ASX 200 materials was the best sector of 2025 but it's time to sell these 3 shares: broker

Morgan Stanley has just updated its ratings and 12-month price targets on 3 ASX 200 mining shares.

Read more »

Woman with spyglass looking toward ocean at sunset.
Resources Shares

Forecast: Here's what $10,000 invested in Fortescue shares could be worth next year

Let’s dig into the potential for the miner in the year ahead.

Read more »

Happy miner with his hand in the air.
Resources Shares

BHP shares at 52-week high: Here's why I'm not buying

Is it too late to hop on this speeding train?

Read more »