Is the Appen share price good value?

Is the Appen Ltd (ASX:APX) share price good value for its current growth profile?

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price has had a disappointing end to the week.

Although they have rebounded off their low for the day, the shares of the global leader in the development of high-quality, human annotated datasets for machine learning and artificial intelligence are down almost 3% to $12.40 in afternoon trade.

This decline means Appen's shares are down 22.5% since peaking at $16.00 last year.

Is this a buying opportunity?

I think this pullback ought to be considered a buying opportunity for investors.

Based on its guidance for FY 2018 and prospects for the following year, I think Appen's shares are great value.

In November Appen provided an update which revealed that it continued to experience strong demand for its services in the prior months. This led to a sharp increase in monthly revenues from existing projects from existing customers.

As a result, management raised its underlying EBITDA guidance to the range of $62 million to $65 million for FY 2018.

This was a notable increase on its previous guidance of $54 million to $59 million and will be a 120% to 131% increase on FY 2017's result.

While I expect its growth to moderate in FY 2019, I believe its exposure to the fast-growing machine learning and artificial intelligence markets puts it in a strong position to deliver above-average earnings growth.

I'm not alone in believing this could be the case. A note out of UBS in November reveals that it expects Appen to achieve earnings per share of 39.4 cent in FY 2018 and then 49.7 cents in FY 2019.

Based on this forecast, Appen's shares are currently priced at 25x FY 2019 earnings.

Overall, I think this makes Appen's shares the best value out of the WAAAX group which includes WiseTech Global Ltd (ASX: WTC), Afterpay Touch Group Ltd (ASX: APT), Altium Limited (ASX: ALU) and Xero Limited (ASX: XRO).

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares of AFTERPAY T FPO, Altium, Appen Ltd, WiseTech Global, and Xero. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Growth Shares

Man pointing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

4 top ASX growth shares to buy and hold

Analysts think these stocks are in the buy zone right now.

Read more »

Young woman using computer laptop smiling in love showing heart symbol and shape with hands. as she switches from a big telco to Aussie Broadband which is capturing more market share
Growth Shares

Here are 4 exciting ASX growth stocks that brokers love in 2024

Brokers think investors should be snapping up these growth stocks.

Read more »

A girl is handed an oversized ice cream cone with lots of different flavours.
Growth Shares

How I'd use ASX growth shares to turn $1,000 into $10,000

Choosing the right growth shares can add plenty of bang to your buck.

Read more »

a man in a business suit points his finger amid a digitised map of the globe suspended in the air in front of him, complete with graphs, digital code and glyphs to indicate digital assets.
Investing Strategies

Future focus: How to diversify your portfolio with ASX AI ETFs

Looking for a simple and effective way to capitalise on the growth of AI technologies across global markets?

Read more »

chart showing an increasing share price
Growth Shares

Buy these excellent ASX growth shares for 15% to 20% returns

Analysts think big returns could be on the cards for owners of these shares.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Growth Shares

These ASX 200 growth shares could rise 12% to 30%

Analysts think big returns could be on offer from these shares.

Read more »

Man in an office celebrates at he crosses a finish line before his colleagues.
Growth Shares

Hoping to beat the ASX 200? I'd consider buying these 3 ASX shares

Analysts think these shares can outperform the market.

Read more »

a happy investor with a wide smile points to a graph that shows an upward trending share price
Growth Shares

5 top ASX growth shares to buy in April

Analysts think growth investors should be buying these shares.

Read more »