S&P/ASX 200 closes the week above 6000 – where to next?

The S&P/ASX 200 (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) has finished the week above 6,000 for the first time since 2008.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 200 (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) has finished the week above 6,000 points for the first time since 2008, amid a backdrop of company tax reform in the United States and a broader outlook of global growth.

Following a weak lead from Wall Street overnight, the major Australian index fell to a close of 6,029.40 on Friday for an overall increase of more than 1% for the week.

After rising strongly earlier in the week, it was the big mining companies BHP Billiton Limited (ASX: BHP) and Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) that pulled the ASX 200 lower on Friday, both falling 2%.

It may have been a case of some profit taking, as both companies' share prices have risen strongly during the last month, and have been a key reason why the index broke through the 6,000 barrier on Tuesday.

Another major factor has been Commonwealth Bank of Australia's (ASX: CBA) share price rise of almost 7.5% since the start of October. Australia's largest bank provided a first quarter trading update this week and it was well received by the market, pushing CBA's share price back above $80.

It marks a strong comeback from the bank. Its share price almost fell below $70 in September, amid the fallout from AUSTRAC's allegations of anti-money laundering breaches.

Australia's other major banks all released full year results recently that perhaps slightly missed market expectations, leaving Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX: ANZ) and Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) relatively flat for the week, buoyed by CBA's update on Wednesday.

National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) was the exception, finishing the week down more than 4% after going ex-dividend on Thursday.

ANZ and Westpac will follow suit on Monday 13 November, meaning the ASX 200 will likely start the week lower and perhaps fall back below 6000. I wouldn't be surprised to see further profit taking drag the market down this month, before entering December for what is historically a strong period for the index. Westpac, NAB and ANZ dividends all arrive in time for the annual "Santa Rally", and I think we'll be looking at above 6,100 in the new year.

Foolish takeaway

Momentum can be a strong driver of markets in the short term, however it is business fundamentals that will determine share price performance in the long term. Investors should be mindful of the "fear of missing out" when markets get on a run and instead stick to decisions based on sound research and fundamental analysis.

Motley Fool contributor Ian Crane owns shares in Westpac Banking Corp, National Australia Bank Ltd and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group. The Motley Fool Australia owns shares in National Australia Bank. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »