Woolworths Limited chokes on profit downgrade: what you need to know

Woolworths Limited (ASX:WOW) has lagged arch rival Wesfamers Ltd (ASX:WES) for the 23rd consecutive quarter and now shareholders have to suffer the indignation of a profit downgrade.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Supermarket giant Woolworths Limited (ASX: WOW) will be under renewed pressure this morning after it announced a big profit downgrade and a first quarter sales result that fell short of expectations.

The stock crashed 7.6% to a one-month low of $25.28 in early trade as shareholders pay the price for the group's mismanagement.

Woolies warned that its first half profit could fall by as much as 35% from the same period last year as it invests heavily to stem its loss in market share to rivals like Wesfarmers Ltd's (ASX: WES) Coles supermarket chain and Aldi.

Profit for the six months to end December is now tipped to range between $900 million and $1 billion, which implies a potential consensus profit downgrade given that analysts have penciled in a 2015-16 profit of around $2.3 billion for the group.

Now we know exactly who is contributing to yesterday's soft inflation reading for groceries by the Australia Bureau of Statistics!

Woolies is being forced to swallow rising costs as it cannot afford to put prices up when shoppers are deserting the group.

The fact is, Coles has a lower cost structure as it made the necessary investments in past years when Woolies was playing in the sunshine and basking in complacency. We don't even need to talk about Aldi's costs from its barebones operations.

But even as Woolies is absorbing rising costs to keep prices down, shoppers are still not impressed enough to keep shopping at its stores. The decline in same store sales (which are stores opened for more than a year) is accelerating.

Management said that same store food and liquor sales fell 1% in the last few weeks compared to a 0.9% drop in the first eight weeks of the current financial year. Analysts polled on Bloomberg were predicting a slight improvement to a 0.7% decline.

It is only because of new stores that total Australian food and liquor sales managed to inch up 0.4% to $11.1 billion for the first quarter.

What's more, the bleeding at Woolies-owned Big W department store isn't showing much sign of letting up either as the group's general merchandise category shrunk 7.9% in the September quarter compared with the same time last year.

While sales from its home improvement businesses Masters jumped 23.5% in the quarter, that won't be enough to save it as rumors that Woolies is close to shutting down the disastrous chain intensify.

Woolies quarterly sales update stands in stark contrast to Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX: WES), which is kicking a number of goals and is likely to keep its strong lead over Woolies for the medium term at least.

It's shocking but Woolies has been lagging Wesfarmers on same-store sales growth for 23 quarters and shareholders should brace for a few more quarters of pain.

Motley Fool contributor Brendon Lau has no position in any stocks mentioned. Follow me on Twitter - https://twitter.com/brenlau Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »