Is AGL Energy Ltd a safe bet in an oil market crash?

AGL Energy Ltd (ASX:AGL) has smashed the index by around 24% in the past year.

| More on:
a woman

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

While many energy stocks such as Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) have been punished by investors in response to the oil price crash there are other companies which are much less exposed to the vagaries of the oil price but that still do have oil and gas exposure.

AGL Energy Ltd (ASX: AGL) is a prime example…

The company is a major electricity and gas utility and energy retailer and while it does have some oil and gas exposure its primary source of energy for power generation is coal along with a growing range of renewable sources, particularly wind power.

In fact, AGL is Australia's largest listed owner, operator and developer of renewable energy generation – having committed around $2 billion to building hydro, wind and solar-powered generation assets. These assets once completed will in total produce over 1,900 megawatts of renewable capacity.

AGL also owns gas assets to provide for a share of the group's expected household, commercial and industrial demand for gas. However, in what appears a timely move, in July the company announced it would focus on core gas projects and divest non-core and underperforming gas assets and activities. Strategic decisions by AGL's management over the years – particularly the decision to not follow the herd into the liquefied natural gas (LNG) space – means that unlike some of its listed peers, the group is in a much more commanding position during the current oil price rout.

AGL produced an impressive full year set of results when it reported in August. Sales grew 2.2% to $10.7 billion, underlying profit jumped 12.1% to $630 million. It should be noted however that on an underlying earnings per share basis, however, AGL recorded a fall of 0.5% to 96.4 cents per share.

AGL has an impressive long-term track record of delivering higher dividends to shareholders. This trend continued in 2015 with the total dividend increased by one cent to 64 cents per share.

A Safe Bet

The slump in the oil price has already helped to set off some early consolidation across the wider energy and utility sectors.

DUET Group (ASX: DUE) recently made a play for Energy Developments Limited (ASX: ENE) showing that some firms have an appetite to acquire peers during these tumultuous times. Another stock worth keeping an eye on is APA Group (ASX: APA) which may find itself in the position of being able to pick up high-quality assets from distressed sellers at appealing prices.

Whether AGL finds itself involved with merger and acquisition (M&A) activity remains to be seen however any weakness in its share price could be an opportunity for long-term investors. AGL's share price has risen nearly 16% in the past year which is significantly better than the S&P/ASX 200 (Index: ^AXJO) (ASX: XJO) which is down around 8% and also much better than oil and gas producers which have been caught out by the tumbling oil price.

With AGL's share price finishing last week at $16.10, the stock is trading on a trailing price-to-earnings ratio and dividend yield of 16.7x and 4% respectively.

Motley Fool contributor Tim McArthur has no position in any stocks mentioned. Unless otherwise noted, the author does not have a position in any stocks mentioned by the author in the comments below. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson.

More on ⏸️ Investing

Close up of baby looking puzzled
Retail Shares

What has happened to the Baby Bunting (ASX:BBN) share price this year?

It's been a volatile year so far for the Aussie nursery retailer. We take a closer look

Read more »

woman holds sign saying 'we need change' at climate change protest
ETFs

3 ASX ETFs that invest in companies fighting climate change

If you want to shift some of your investments into more ethical companies, exchange-traded funds can offer a good option

Read more »

a jewellery store attendant stands at a cabinet displaying opulent necklaces and earrings featuring diamonds and precious stones.
⏸️ Investing

The Michael Hill (ASX: MHJ) share price poised for growth

Investors will be keeping an eye on the Michael Hill International Limited (ASX: MHJ) share price today. The keen interest…

Read more »

ASX shares buy unstoppable asx share price represented by man in superman cape pointing skyward
⏸️ Investing

The Atomos (ASX:AMS) share price is up 15% in a week

The Atomos (ASX: AMS) share price has surged 15% this week. Let's look at what's ahead as the company build…

Read more »

Two people in suits arm wrestle on a black and white chess board.
Retail Shares

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX:TPW) share price stack up against Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)?

How does the Temple & Webster (ASX: TPW) share price stack up against rival furniture retailer Nick Scali Limited (ASX:…

Read more »

A medical researcher works on a bichip, indicating share price movement in ASX tech companies
Healthcare Shares

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since its IPO

The Aroa (ASX:ARX) share price has surged 60% since the Polynovo (ASX: PNV) competitor listed on the ASX in July.…

Read more »

asx investor daydreaming about US shares
⏸️ How to Invest

How to buy US shares from Australia right now

If you have been wondering how to buy US shares from Australia to gain exposure from the highly topical market,…

Read more »

⏸️ Investing

Why Fox (NASDAQ:FOX) might hurt News Corp (ASX:NWS) shareholders

News Corporation (ASX: NWS) might be facing some existential threats from its American cousins over the riots on 6 January

Read more »