2 top ASX 200 shares tipped to return 23% to 45%

Morgans thinks these shares could rocket from current levels.

If you are on the hunt for big returns for your portfolio, then it could be worth checking out the two S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares listed below.

That's because they have been named as buys and tipped to rise up to 45%. Here's what is being recommended:

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.

Image source: Getty Images

Megaport Ltd (ASX: MP1)

This network services company could be an ASX 200 share with significant upside potential according to Morgans.

It was impressed with its performance in FY 2026 and its guidance for the year ahead. As a result, it recently put a buy rating and $25.00 price target on Megaport's shares. This implies potential upside of approximately 45% from current levels.

Commenting on its recommendation, the broker said:

MP1's FY26 underlying EBITDA and FY27 EBITDA guidance were above market expectations. Both Network and Compute delivered record growth. At first glance, simple maths suggests MP1's funding position looks tight. However, there is nearly $500m of additional funding that got lost in translation. We think MP1 ends FY27 with nearly $600m of surplus liquidity (assuming no new deals get signed).

Deals already contracted deliver $620m of annualised contracted EBITDA which means after EBITDA lifts 3x YoY in FY27, it will more than double into FY28, based on deals already signed. We upgrade to a Buy recommendation and $25 target price.

Monadelphous Group Ltd (ASX: MND)

Morgans also sees potential for this ASX 200 share to deliver market-beating returns over the next 12 months.

In response to its results last month, the broker retained its buy rating and $35.80 price target on Monadelphous shares. Based on its current share price of $29.01, this implies potential upside of 23% for investors. It commented:

FY26 was strong with EBITDA +49% YoY and NPAT +60%. Management seemed comfortable talking up the outlook more generally – across iron ore, energy, gold, rare earths and lithium – however expectations for FY27 were tempered by framing it as a consolidation year. While we acknowledge that the 1H27 comp will be difficult (1H26 revenue +45% YoY), the key lead indicators suggest that strong growth will continue into FY27 and beyond, as the E&C order book has more than doubled YoY to nearly $1.2bn (from $570m at FY25). 

MND's E&C business has never been better positioned to start the year and can capture more of the value chain during this development cycle (civils, NPI, fabrication), with the mega-projects still to be awarded (Nolans, P2000, Hemi and Mt Holland). We maintain our BUY recommendation. Target price unchanged at $35.80.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Megaport. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Megaport. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A close up of a motorcycle's front wheel and body on the open road with another motorcycle rider in the background cruising behind the leading driver.
Broker Notes

This high-dividend ASX small cap could rise more than 50%: Broker

A solid growth strategy has impressed the team from Morgans.

Read more »

Part of male mannequin dressed in casual clothes holding a sale paper shopping bag.
Broker Notes

Down more than 50%, are Zip shares too cheap to ignore?

UBS says the fundamentals of this business are strong.

Read more »

A broker caluculates a hold rating for an asx share price
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Mesoblast, Transurban, NextDC shares

The market has started the new week in the green.

Read more »

Male investor holds a magnifying glass to his eye.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Resmed, Megaport, ANZ shares

Let's start the week with some fresh ratings from the experts. 

Read more »

Worried and anxious man using his laptop.
Broker Notes

Experts tip CBA and these ASX 200 shares as sells

These shares have been given sell ratings this week. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man sits in casual clothes in front of a computer amid graphic images of data superimposed on the image, as though he is engaged in IT or hacking activities.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Female miner standing smiling in a mine.
Broker Notes

3 ASX mining shares with 43% to 322% upside ahead: brokers

The miners remain on an upward trajectory despite the broader market weakening in 2026.

Read more »

A woman stretches her arms into the sky as she rises above the crowd.
Broker Notes

9 ASX 200 shares upgraded by brokers this week

Brokers have increased their ratings on Northern Star, Challenger, Rio Tinto, and other stocks.

Read more »