Why this ASX consumer discretionary stock could be the pick of the sector 

This stock could be a must buy after results.

ASX consumer discretionary stock Universal Store Holdings Ltd (ASX: UNI) just soared 17% on the back of earnings results. 

Investors were gobbling up shares in the company following a result that included double-digit revenue growth and ongoing store expansion. 

A new report from Bell Potter suggests this could be a sign of what's to come over the next 12 months. 

Cheerful girl deciding between tops in a stylish boutique.

Image source: Getty Images

What did the company report?

As reported by Laura Stewart yesterday, the company reported a 12.9% rise in revenue to $376.1 million for FY26, with underlying NPAT up 16.3% to $40.5 million.

Other results included: 

  • Underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) of $40.5 million, up 16.3%
  • Statutory NPAT of $18.2 million, down 21.6% due to non-cash impairments
  • Gross margin of 62.5%, up 1.4 percentage points
  • Underlying EBIT of $64.0 million, up 17.2%
  • Final fully franked dividend of 17 cents per share (FY total dividends: 43.0 cps). 

Prior to yesterday, this ASX consumer discretionary stock had faced several sector-related headwinds. 

However, it seems the tide could be turning. 

Bell Potter renewed confidence

Following the release, Bell Potter provided updated guidance on this ASX consumer discretionary stock. 

The broker saw the FY26 result as a clear beat, with revenue above guidance and EBIT at the top end, while FY27 trading has started positively despite tough comparables. 

Group retail sales were up 9%, with particularly strong like-for-like growth. 

The biggest positive was the FY27 store-opening guidance of 16-20 stores, well above Bell Potter's prior estimate. 

They have lifted their forecast to 17 net new stores, putting the core Universal Store network on track to reach around 100 stores by FY28.

Upgraded target price for this ASX consumer discretionary stock

Based on this guidance, Bell Potter retained its buy recommendation. 

It also lifted its price target to $9.70 (previously $9.30). 

From yesterday's closing price, this indicates a further 17% upside. 

Our TP increases by ~4% to $9.70/share given our modest earnings revisions and time creep. We remain supportive of UNI's continued ability to gain market share in a niche streetwear/womenswear category as the overall retail sector goes through a cyclical low point in FY27. We see this backed by UNI's continued execution to attract the selective youth customer spend.

At 15x FY27e P/E and continuing to offer ~9% EBIT growth over FY27-29e (BPe), we retain our optimistic views on UNI as a high quality retailer with a healthy balance sheet and maintain our BUY rating.

Motley Fool contributor Aaron Bell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Universal Store. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woman holding several shopping bags.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Super Retail Group vs JB Hi-Fi: Which retail stock is better for beginners?

Which comes out on top for beginners: Super Retail Group or JB Hi-Fi? We crunch the numbers and explain my…

Read more »

An old dude with a long flowing beard smiles as he bites into a Mexican burrito.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guzman y Gomez in focus as Q1 FY27 sales jump 18.8%

Guzman y Gomez reported 18.8% sales growth and robust expansion plans in its Q1 FY27 update.

Read more »

green arrow rising from within a trolley.
Dividend Investing

Here's the dividend forecast out to 2029 for Woolworths shares

Here’s how big the Woolworths dividends could be in the coming years.

Read more »

two women and a man eating pizza at a party
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Domino's Pizza Enterprises vs Guzman y Gomez: Which fast food stock offers better value?

Comparing Domino's Pizza and Guzman y Gomez shares on valuation, yield, franking and recent momentum to spot which ASX fast…

Read more »

A woman wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks to the sky with her hand to her chin, contemplating buying ASX shares.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

CAR Group vs Seek: Which ASX 200 stock is better value?

CAR Group and Seek both lead online classifieds, but which ASX share offers better value for Aussie investors right now?

Read more »

A man in a business suit rides a graphic image of an arrow that is rebounding on a graph.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

IDP Education vs G8 Education: Which battered ASX stock could rebound?

Both IDP Education and G8 Education have been smashed—here’s why I think one offers the more compelling rebound opportunity.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

If I buy $6,000 of Coles shares, how much dividend income will I receive?

Coles can be the source of strong dividend income.

Read more »

Two happy woman on a couch looking at a tablet.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Adairs vs Temple & Webster: Which ASX retail stock wins for October?

Adairs and Temple & Webster both look beaten up, but only one stacks up as the stronger retail buy for…

Read more »