Why I'd buy JB Hi-Fi shares today after its big fall

JB Hi-Fi shares fell heavily yesterday. It looks like a buy today…

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The JB Hi-Fi Ltd (ASX: JBH) share price fell heavily yesterday, dropping below $70 within the first hour. After a sizeable drop, I think the ASX retail share is now a compelling long-term buy.

There were warning signs of a difficult FY27 with how its trading started in July 2026. JB Hi-Fi Australia sales were down 0.5%, The Good Guys sales decreased 1.7% and E&S sales fell 2.7%. The only positive was JB Hi-Fi New Zealand sales grew 20.9%, though this division only generates a fraction of what the company makes in Australia.

Despite the difficulties, I think there are multiple positives to focus on for the longer-term.

Woman checking out new iPads.

Image source: Getty Images

Much better valuation

One of Warren Buffett's most famous pieces of advice is "be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful".

While JB Hi-Fi didn't exactly crash yesterday, it was still a large decline. When added to the rest of the fall over the past 12 months, it's down nearly 40% in the past year (at the time of writing).

I'd suggest the business is now more likely to deliver capital growth over the long-term because we can invest with a much larger margin of safety. In my view, it can only fall so far during this period, and a share price usually bottoms out before that deterioration shows up in the financials.

At the time of writing, JB Hi-Fi is now trading at 16x FY26's earnings. I think that's a good earnings multiple to invest. If it went even cheaper, I'd suggest it'd be an even better buy.

Significant boost to the available passive dividend income

In the company's FY26 result, the business reported earnings per share (EPS) grew 5.9% to $4.48 and the dividend per share was hiked by 22.5% to $3.37 per share.

The dividend payout ratio was approximately 75%, which I think is a healthy level that both rewards shareholders and allows for reinvestment.

Following the sizeable fall of the JB Hi-Fi share price, the dividend yield has seen a significant increase.

Based on the FY26 payout, the company now has a grossed-up dividend yield of 6.7%, including franking credits, at the time of writing.

Leading retailer

During periods of economic weakness, I believe leading businesses are more likely to improve their market share and/or operations.

The company has a few areas of focus.

JB Hi-Fi said it's going to focus on providing customers with low prices, best-in-market promotions, and winning at key sales events. It also wants to provide a better service and in-store experience. It's also looking to drive operational efficiencies such as rolling out electronic shelf labels.

The company is also looking to open four new JB Hi-Fi Australia stores, two JB Hi-Fi New Zealand stores and one new The Good Guys store in FY27, as well as enact store relocations and extensions.

It's also planning to expand its in-store retail media screen network, grow its membership programs, provide AI shopping experiences and search online, and grow its online, phone and chat sales channels.

The ASX share also has plans to improve the recently acquired E&S business with a new website, expand its commercial business outside of Victoria, improve business operations, develop a new store layout and grow its store network.

Overall, I think the business has a very promising future, which is why I'd be very happy to invest at the current JB Hi-Fi share price.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

Up 67%! Is it too late to buy the rally in Guzman Y Gomez shares now?

A leading expert delivers his verdict on the surging Guzman Y Gomez share price.

Read more »

Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is this the best value stock amongst the ASX consumer discretionary sector?

This stock could be primed for a rebound.

Read more »

Woman customer and grocery shopping cart in supermarket store, retail outlet or mall shop. Female shopper pushing trolley in shelf aisle to buy discount groceries, sale goods and brand offers.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Woolworths vs Coles: Which supermarket giant is the better ASX buy?

Woolworths and Coles are both dividend giants with fully franked yields—but I’ll tell you which one I’d buy for income…

Read more »

Piles of increasing coins on Australian $100 notes.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is the Nick Scali share price a buy for its 7% dividend yield?

This business offers a large dividend yield and growth potential.

Read more »

a wheat farmer stands with his arms crossed in a paddock of wheat ready for harvest with his header harvesting equipment operating in the background.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

GrainCorp shares fall after surprise $30 million cost increase

Higher costs have taken the shine off a solid outlook.

Read more »

Farmer holding grains in his hands.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

GrainCorp keeps guidance steady as transformation delivers gains

GrainCorp keeps FY26 earnings guidance steady, highlights transformation gains and prepares for a strong winter crop outlook.

Read more »

two men raise their fists and shout with their mouths wide open on a sofa as though they are watching sport or something stirring on a television that is out of picture.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Nine Entertainment secures Premier League rights through 2034

Nine extends exclusive Premier League rights to 2034, cementing Stan Sport as a key driver of growth and boosting its…

Read more »

Man on a plane using a laptop with headphones on.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Corporate Travel shares plunge another 9%: Is the worst yet to come?

Corporate Travel looks cheap, but investors still face major unanswered questions.

Read more »